Invesco Municipal Income Fund Probability Of Bankruptcy

VMINX Fund  USD 12.01  0.03  0.25%   
Invesco Municipal's odds of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small probability of experiencing financial straits in the next few years. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Invesco balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Invesco Municipal Piotroski F Score and Invesco Municipal Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Invesco Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Invesco Municipal's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Invesco Municipal Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 44%  
Most of Invesco Municipal's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Invesco Municipal Income is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Invesco Municipal probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Invesco Municipal odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Invesco Municipal Income financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Invesco Municipal Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Invesco Municipal Income has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 44.0%. This is much higher than that of the Invesco family and significantly higher than that of the Muni National Long category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Invesco Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Invesco Municipal's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Invesco Municipal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Invesco Municipal by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Invesco Municipal is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

Invesco Fundamentals

About Invesco Municipal Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Invesco Municipal Income's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Invesco Municipal using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invesco Municipal Income based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities at the time of investment. It may invest up to 20 percent of its net assets in municipal securities below investment grade. The fund may invest all or a substantial portion of its assets in municipal securities that are subject to the federal alternative minimum tax.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Invesco Municipal in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Invesco Municipal's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Invesco Municipal options trading.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Invesco Municipal Piotroski F Score and Invesco Municipal Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Invesco Municipal's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Municipal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Municipal is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Municipal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Municipal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Municipal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Municipal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.