Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term Fund Probability Of Bankruptcy

VPALX Fund  USD 10.82  0.03  0.28%   
Vanguard Pennsylvania's odds of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small probability of experiencing financial crisis in the next few years. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Vanguard balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Vanguard Pennsylvania Piotroski F Score and Vanguard Pennsylvania Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Vanguard Pennsylvania's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Vanguard Pennsylvania Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 44%  
Most of Vanguard Pennsylvania's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Vanguard Pennsylvania probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vanguard Pennsylvania odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Pennsylvania's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Pennsylvania is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Pennsylvania's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Vanguard Pennsylvania Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 44.0%. This is much higher than that of the Vanguard family and significantly higher than that of the Muni Pennsylvania category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Vanguard Pennsylvania's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard Pennsylvania could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Pennsylvania by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Vanguard Pennsylvania is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

Vanguard Fundamentals

About Vanguard Pennsylvania Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vanguard Pennsylvania using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The fund invests primarily in high-quality municipal bonds issued by Pennsylvania state and local governments, as well as by regional governmental and public financing authorities. Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its assets will be invested in securities whose income is exempt from federal and Pennsylvania state taxes. Although the fund has no limitations on the maturities of individual securities, its dollar-weighted average maturity is expected to be between 10 and 25 years. It is non-diversified.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Vanguard Pennsylvania Piotroski F Score and Vanguard Pennsylvania Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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When running Vanguard Pennsylvania's price analysis, check to measure Vanguard Pennsylvania's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vanguard Pennsylvania is operating at the current time. Most of Vanguard Pennsylvania's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vanguard Pennsylvania's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vanguard Pennsylvania's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vanguard Pennsylvania to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Pennsylvania's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Pennsylvania is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Pennsylvania's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.