Vertex Pharmaceuticals Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
VRTX Stock | USD 404.91 4.99 1.25% |
Vertex | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis
Vertex Pharmaceuticals' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Vertex Pharmaceuticals Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 1% |
Most of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vertex Pharmaceuticals is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Vertex Pharmaceuticals probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vertex Pharmaceuticals odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vertex Pharmaceuticals financial health.
Is Vertex Pharmaceuticals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vertex Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Vertex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vertex Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.181 | Earnings Share 13.88 | Revenue Per Share 38.297 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 | Return On Assets 0.1317 |
The market value of Vertex Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vertex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vertex Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vertex Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vertex Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vertex Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vertex Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vertex Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Vertex Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Vertex Pharmaceuticals is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Vertex Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Vertex Pharmaceuticals' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Vertex Pharmaceuticals has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.69% lower than that of the Biotechnology sector and 98.18% lower than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.
Vertex Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Vertex Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Vertex Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vertex Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Vertex Pharmaceuticals is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Main Bankruptcy Drivers
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Return On Assets | 0.34 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.16 | |
Asset Turnover | 0.7 | 0.49 | 0.5 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.43 | |
Net Debt | (2.5B) | (5.4B) | (6.2B) | (9.9B) | (9.6B) | (9.1B) | |
Total Current Liabilities | 1.2B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.4B | 3.5B | 3.7B | |
Non Current Liabilities Total | 1.0B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.7B | |
Total Assets | 8.3B | 11.8B | 13.4B | 18.2B | 22.7B | 23.9B | |
Total Current Assets | 4.6B | 7.8B | 9.0B | 12.7B | 14.1B | 14.9B | |
Total Cash From Operating Activities | 1.6B | 3.3B | 2.6B | 4.1B | 3.5B | 3.7B |
Vertex Pharmaceuticals ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Vertex Pharmaceuticals' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Vertex Pharmaceuticals' managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Vertex Fundamentals
Return On Equity | 0.23 | ||||
Return On Asset | 0.13 | ||||
Profit Margin | 0.37 % | ||||
Operating Margin | 0.38 % | ||||
Current Valuation | 92.89 B | ||||
Shares Outstanding | 258.46 M | ||||
Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.11 % | ||||
Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.29 % | ||||
Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.98 M | ||||
Price To Earning | 24.57 X | ||||
Price To Book | 5.83 X | ||||
Price To Sales | 10.38 X | ||||
Revenue | 9.84 B | ||||
Gross Profit | 5.32 B | ||||
EBITDA | 3.93 B | ||||
Net Income | 3.62 B | ||||
Cash And Equivalents | 9.77 B | ||||
Cash Per Share | 38.06 X | ||||
Total Debt | 808.4 M | ||||
Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | ||||
Current Ratio | 4.70 X | ||||
Book Value Per Share | 68.22 X | ||||
Cash Flow From Operations | 3.54 B | ||||
Short Ratio | 3.84 X | ||||
Earnings Per Share | 13.88 X | ||||
Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.53 X | ||||
Target Price | 466.14 | ||||
Number Of Employees | 5.4 K | ||||
Beta | 0.37 | ||||
Market Capitalization | 103.36 B | ||||
Total Asset | 22.73 B | ||||
Retained Earnings | 10.14 B | ||||
Working Capital | 10.6 B | ||||
Current Asset | 1.41 B | ||||
Current Liabilities | 506.35 M | ||||
Net Asset | 22.73 B |
About Vertex Pharmaceuticals Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vertex Pharmaceuticals's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vertex Pharmaceuticals using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vertex Pharmaceuticals based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Investors Sentiment
The influence of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Vertex. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Vertex Pharmaceuticals' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vertex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vertex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vertex Pharmaceuticals. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Vertex Pharmaceuticals' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Vertex Pharmaceuticals' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Vertex Pharmaceuticals.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Implied Volatility | 29.84 |
Vertex Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vertex Pharmaceuticals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vertex Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vertex Pharmaceuticals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vertex Pharmaceuticals' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vertex Pharmaceuticals in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vertex Pharmaceuticals' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vertex Pharmaceuticals options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Vertex Pharmaceuticals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vertex Pharmaceuticals Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vertex Pharmaceuticals Stock:Check out Vertex Pharmaceuticals Piotroski F Score and Vertex Pharmaceuticals Altman Z Score analysis. For more information on how to buy Vertex Stock please use our How to Invest in Vertex Pharmaceuticals guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
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When running Vertex Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Vertex Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vertex Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vertex Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vertex Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vertex Pharmaceuticals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vertex Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Vertex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vertex Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.181 | Earnings Share 13.88 | Revenue Per Share 38.297 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 | Return On Assets 0.1317 |
The market value of Vertex Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vertex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vertex Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vertex Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vertex Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vertex Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vertex Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vertex Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.