Xinyuan Real Estate Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Name: Xinyuan Real Upcoming Quarterly Report
Start: 2024-06-04
End: 2024-06-04
Location: Xinyuan Real Estate

XIN Stock

USD 2.73 0.02 0.74%

Xinyuan Real's odds of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small probability of experiencing financial straits in the next few years. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Xinyuan balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Xinyuan Real Piotroski F Score and Xinyuan Real Altman Z Score analysis.

As of the 25th of April 2024, Market Cap is likely to drop to about 23.6 M. In addition to that, Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 906 M

Xinyuan Real Estate Company odds of distress Analysis

Xinyuan Real's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Xinyuan Real Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 42%

Most of Xinyuan Real's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Xinyuan Real Estate is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Xinyuan Real probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Xinyuan Real odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Xinyuan Real Estate financial health.

Is Xinyuan Real's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xinyuan Real. If investors know Xinyuan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xinyuan Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

4.927

Earnings Share

(52.52)

Revenue Per Share

176.174

Quarterly Revenue Growth

1.909

Return On Assets

0.0006

The market value of Xinyuan Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xinyuan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xinyuan Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xinyuan Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xinyuan Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xinyuan Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Xinyuan Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xinyuan Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xinyuan Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Xinyuan Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Xinyuan Real is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Xinyuan Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Xinyuan Real's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Xinyuan Real's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Xinyuan Real's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Treasury Stock	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		-0.07	0.95	0.99	0.9	-0.44	0.94	0.67	0.91	-0.43	0.95	0.62	0.95	0.89	-0.36	-0.53	-0.94	0.92	0.68	0.82	-0.66	0.7	0.53	0.12	-0.6	-0.56	0.37
Total Stockholder Equity	-0.07		-0.02	-0.17	0.17	0.83	-0.26	0.41	-0.34	0.15	-0.1	0.43	-0.22	-0.4	0.45	0.55	0.29	-0.12	0.19	-0.31	0.61	0.11	-0.46	0.4	0.58	0.54	-0.47
Net Debt	0.95	-0.02		0.95	0.9	-0.34	0.85	0.74	0.83	-0.59	0.96	0.55	0.86	0.81	-0.32	-0.57	-0.87	0.89	0.63	0.74	-0.56	0.73	0.46	0.15	-0.49	-0.44	0.32
Total Liab	0.99	-0.17	0.95		0.88	-0.51	0.95	0.63	0.92	-0.44	0.95	0.57	0.96	0.92	-0.41	-0.58	-0.95	0.92	0.64	0.84	-0.71	0.69	0.57	0.08	-0.65	-0.6	0.42
Total Current Assets	0.9	0.17	0.9	0.88		-0.16	0.77	0.77	0.72	-0.42	0.84	0.65	0.81	0.75	0.01	-0.42	-0.83	0.92	0.73	0.76	-0.42	0.67	0.3	0.18	-0.42	-0.31	0.14
Retained Earnings	-0.44	0.83	-0.34	-0.51	-0.16		-0.62	0.26	-0.7	0.09	-0.46	-0.13	-0.53	-0.67	0.68	0.41	0.57	-0.39	0.1	-0.54	0.91	0.0	-0.75	0.47	0.88	0.83	-0.72
Accounts Payable	0.94	-0.26	0.85	0.95	0.77	-0.62		0.46	0.97	-0.38	0.9	0.58	0.97	0.86	-0.49	-0.51	-0.96	0.87	0.56	0.8	-0.81	0.55	0.67	-0.02	-0.77	-0.75	0.5
Long Term Debt	0.67	0.41	0.74	0.63	0.77	0.26	0.46		0.38	-0.47	0.6	0.38	0.59	0.45	0.12	-0.37	-0.53	0.63	0.75	0.39	0.06	0.9	-0.03	0.61	0.14	0.19	-0.17
Net Receivables	0.91	-0.34	0.83	0.92	0.72	-0.7	0.97	0.38		-0.43	0.86	0.51	0.94	0.88	-0.51	-0.47	-0.93	0.81	0.5	0.74	-0.84	0.46	0.67	-0.09	-0.8	-0.78	0.52
Short Term Investments	-0.43	0.15	-0.59	-0.44	-0.42	0.09	-0.38	-0.47	-0.43		-0.45	0.13	-0.41	-0.35	0.02	0.54	0.46	-0.45	-0.42	-0.19	0.14	-0.47	-0.07	-0.18	0.09	0.1	0.02
Short Term Debt	0.95	-0.1	0.96	0.95	0.84	-0.46	0.9	0.6	0.86	-0.45		0.58	0.87	0.82	-0.44	-0.56	-0.87	0.9	0.6	0.84	-0.66	0.66	0.59	0.13	-0.6	-0.54	0.44
Common Stock	0.62	0.43	0.55	0.57	0.65	-0.13	0.58	0.38	0.51	0.13	0.58		0.51	0.42	-0.22	0.23	-0.47	0.5	0.23	0.4	-0.4	0.26	0.41	-0.07	-0.4	-0.35	0.33
Property Plant Equipment	0.95	-0.22	0.86	0.96	0.81	-0.53	0.97	0.59	0.94	-0.41	0.87	0.51		0.86	-0.38	-0.57	-0.97	0.88	0.66	0.79	-0.71	0.65	0.58	0.09	-0.66	-0.64	0.39
Current Deferred Revenue	0.89	-0.4	0.81	0.92	0.75	-0.67	0.86	0.45	0.88	-0.35	0.82	0.42	0.86		-0.41	-0.57	-0.9	0.8	0.51	0.8	-0.78	0.58	0.52	-0.06	-0.69	-0.62	0.4
Good Will	-0.36	0.45	-0.32	-0.41	0.01	0.68	-0.49	0.12	-0.51	0.02	-0.44	-0.22	-0.38	-0.41		0.23	0.31	-0.14	0.18	-0.28	0.65	-0.15	-0.81	0.26	0.53	0.59	-0.85
Intangible Assets	-0.53	0.55	-0.57	-0.58	-0.42	0.41	-0.51	-0.37	-0.47	0.54	-0.56	0.23	-0.57	-0.57	0.23		0.63	-0.63	-0.47	-0.66	0.42	-0.53	-0.35	-0.13	0.37	0.33	-0.23
Treasury Stock	-0.94	0.29	-0.87	-0.95	-0.83	0.57	-0.96	-0.53	-0.93	0.46	-0.87	-0.47	-0.97	-0.9	0.31	0.63		-0.91	-0.63	-0.83	0.75	-0.6	-0.53	-0.02	0.72	0.67	-0.34
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.92	-0.12	0.89	0.92	0.92	-0.39	0.87	0.63	0.81	-0.45	0.9	0.5	0.88	0.8	-0.14	-0.63	-0.91		0.72	0.9	-0.59	0.64	0.47	0.14	-0.59	-0.49	0.29
Long Term Investments	0.68	0.19	0.63	0.64	0.73	0.1	0.56	0.75	0.5	-0.42	0.6	0.23	0.66	0.51	0.18	-0.47	-0.63	0.72		0.62	-0.06	0.69	0.01	0.63	-0.06	-0.05	-0.18
Short Long Term Debt	0.82	-0.31	0.74	0.84	0.76	-0.54	0.8	0.39	0.74	-0.19	0.84	0.4	0.79	0.8	-0.28	-0.66	-0.83	0.9	0.62		-0.66	0.5	0.57	0.05	-0.66	-0.56	0.43
Net Tangible Assets	-0.66	0.61	-0.56	-0.71	-0.42	0.91	-0.81	0.06	-0.84	0.14	-0.66	-0.4	-0.71	-0.78	0.65	0.42	0.75	-0.59	-0.06	-0.66		-0.09	-0.76	0.51	0.97	0.94	-0.68
Long Term Debt Total	0.7	0.11	0.73	0.69	0.67	0.0	0.55	0.9	0.46	-0.47	0.66	0.26	0.65	0.58	-0.15	-0.53	-0.6	0.64	0.69	0.5	-0.09		0.16	0.61	0.05	0.1	0.04
Capital Surpluse	0.53	-0.46	0.46	0.57	0.3	-0.75	0.67	-0.03	0.67	-0.07	0.59	0.41	0.58	0.52	-0.81	-0.35	-0.53	0.47	0.01	0.57	-0.76	0.16		-0.29	-0.75	-0.71	0.97
Cash And Equivalents	0.12	0.4	0.15	0.08	0.18	0.47	-0.02	0.61	-0.09	-0.18	0.13	-0.07	0.09	-0.06	0.26	-0.13	-0.02	0.14	0.63	0.05	0.51	0.61	-0.29		0.55	0.55	-0.39
Net Invested Capital	-0.6	0.58	-0.49	-0.65	-0.42	0.88	-0.77	0.14	-0.8	0.09	-0.6	-0.4	-0.66	-0.69	0.53	0.37	0.72	-0.59	-0.06	-0.66	0.97	0.05	-0.75	0.55		0.96	-0.66
Net Working Capital	-0.56	0.54	-0.44	-0.6	-0.31	0.83	-0.75	0.19	-0.78	0.1	-0.54	-0.35	-0.64	-0.62	0.59	0.33	0.67	-0.49	-0.05	-0.56	0.94	0.1	-0.71	0.55	0.96		-0.62
Capital Stock	0.37	-0.47	0.32	0.42	0.14	-0.72	0.5	-0.17	0.52	0.02	0.44	0.33	0.39	0.4	-0.85	-0.23	-0.34	0.29	-0.18	0.43	-0.68	0.04	0.97	-0.39	-0.66	-0.62

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Xinyuan Real

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Xinyuan Real Estate has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 42.0%. This indicator is about the same for the Real Estate Management & Development average (which is currently at 42.77) sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 5.45% lower than that of the firm.

Xinyuan Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Xinyuan Real's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Xinyuan Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xinyuan Real by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Xinyuan Real is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Xinyuan Real Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.009209	(0.008799)	(0.0641)	(0.0442)	(0.0508)	(0.0483)
Net Debt	2.7B	2.2B	2.1B	1.9B	2.2B	2.3B
Total Current Liabilities	5.3B	4.5B	4.5B	4.8B	5.5B	5.8B
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.8B	2.1B	2.1B	1.3B	1.4B	859.4M
Total Assets	7.9B	7.4B	7.7B	6.4B	7.4B	7.8B
Total Current Assets	6.6B	5.6B	5.6B	4.8B	5.5B	2.9B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(22.9M)	272.3M	336.8M	135.6M	156.0M	163.7M

Xinyuan Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.2
	Return On Asset	6.0E-4
	Profit Margin	(0.18) %
	Operating Margin	0.05 %
	Current Valuation	3.77 B
	Shares Outstanding	6.01 M
	Shares Owned By Institutions	0.04 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	17.06 K
	Price To Earning	1.73 X
	Price To Book	0.64 X
	Price To Sales	0 X
	Revenue	1.54 B
	Gross Profit	71.96 M
	EBITDA	(160.66 M)
	Net Income	(413.26 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	426.4 M
	Cash Per Share	78.02 X
	Total Debt	2.34 B
	Debt To Equity	1.22 %
	Current Ratio	1.15 X
	Book Value Per Share	(12.94) X
	Cash Flow From Operations	135.61 M
	Short Ratio	5.50 X
	Earnings Per Share	(52.52) X
	Target Price	7.16
	Number Of Employees	1.16 K
	Beta	0.76
	Market Capitalization	16.28 M
	Total Asset	6.45 B
	Retained Earnings	(387.66 M)
	Working Capital	96.25 M
	Current Asset	3.26 B
	Current Liabilities	1.65 B
	Five Year Return	8.67 %
	Net Asset	6.45 B

About Xinyuan Real Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Xinyuan Real Estate's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Xinyuan Real using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xinyuan Real Estate based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Xinyuan Real in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Xinyuan Real's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Xinyuan Real options trading.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

S	SentinelOne
GM	General Motors
V	Visa Class A

When determining whether Xinyuan Real Estate offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Xinyuan Real's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xinyuan Real Estate Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xinyuan Real Estate Stock:

How To Invest In Xinyuan

Details

Is Xinyuan Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Xinyuan Real's Net Worth?

Details

Largest Real Estate Management & Development Companies

View

Largest Real Estate Companies

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Check out Xinyuan Real Piotroski F Score and Xinyuan Real Altman Z Score analysis.

You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

Complementary Tools for Xinyuan Stock analysis

When running Xinyuan Real's price analysis, check to measure Xinyuan Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xinyuan Real is operating at the current time. Most of Xinyuan Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xinyuan Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xinyuan Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xinyuan Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Quarterly Earnings Growth

4.927

Earnings Share

(52.52)

Revenue Per Share

176.174

Quarterly Revenue Growth

1.909

Return On Assets

0.0006

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Xinyuan Real Estate Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Xinyuan Real Estate Company odds of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Xinyuan Real Probability Of Bankruptcy

Xinyuan Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Xinyuan Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Xinyuan Real Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Xinyuan Fundamentals

About Xinyuan Real Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

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