Ypf Sociedad Anonima Stock Beneish M Score

YPF Stock  USD 20.87  0.08  0.38%   
This module uses fundamental data of YPF Sociedad to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. YPF Sociedad M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out YPF Sociedad Piotroski F Score and YPF Sociedad Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, YPF Sociedad's Short Term Debt is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The YPF Sociedad's current Long Term Debt is estimated to increase to about 1.3 T, while Debt To Equity is projected to decrease to 0.45. At this time, YPF Sociedad's Free Cash Flow Yield is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The YPF Sociedad's current Operating Cash Flow Per Share is estimated to increase to 1,798, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01.
At this time, it appears that YPF Sociedad Anonima is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if YPF Sociedad's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by YPF Sociedad executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of YPF Sociedad's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.48
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.93

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.21

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

YPF Sociedad Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if YPF Sociedad's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables448.2 B426.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue5.1 T4.8 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets5.5 T5.3 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.1 TT
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total4.4 T4.2 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment3.9 T3.7 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization449.9 B428.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative624.2 B594.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current LiabilitiesT973.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.3 T2.2 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.5 T1.4 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt306.5 B291.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.3 T1.2 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.6 T1.5 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments68.2 B65 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments450.2 B428.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.340.28
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

YPF Sociedad Anonima Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between YPF Sociedad's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards YPF Sociedad in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find YPF Sociedad's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About YPF Sociedad Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

2.65 Trillion

At this time, YPF Sociedad's Other Operating Expenses is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

YPF Sociedad Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as YPF Sociedad. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables140.0B128.9B170.2B371.2B426.9B448.2B
Total Revenue665.3B659.6B1.2T2.5T4.8T5.1T
Total Assets1.6T1.9T2.4T4.6T5.3T5.5T
Total Current Assets309.4B327.6B466.2B910.7B1.0T1.1T
Net Debt522.4B670.0B750.2B1.2T1.4T1.5T
Short Term Debt128.5B172.8B114.0B253.9B291.9B306.5B
Long Term Debt419.7B527.6B670.5B1.1T1.2T1.3T
Operating Income42.8B(38.3B)148.9B399.2B261.6B274.7B
Investments(163.9B)(109.2B)(17.4B)(523.0B)(1.3T)(1.2T)
Gross Profit Margin0.150.130.05060.170.280.34

About YPF Sociedad Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze YPF Sociedad Anonima's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of YPF Sociedad using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of YPF Sociedad Anonima based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether YPF Sociedad Anonima is a strong investment it is important to analyze YPF Sociedad's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact YPF Sociedad's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding YPF Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out YPF Sociedad Piotroski F Score and YPF Sociedad Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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Is YPF Sociedad's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of YPF Sociedad. If investors know YPF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about YPF Sociedad listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Earnings Share
(3.35)
Revenue Per Share
44.192
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.477
Return On Assets
0.0263
The market value of YPF Sociedad Anonima is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YPF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YPF Sociedad's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YPF Sociedad's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YPF Sociedad's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YPF Sociedad's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YPF Sociedad's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YPF Sociedad is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YPF Sociedad's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.