Five Year Return

Indicator Description

Although Five Year Returns can give a sense of overall investment potential, it is recommended to compare equity performance with similar assets for the same five year time interval. Similarly, comparing overall investment performance over the last five years with the appropriate market index is a great way to determine how this equity instrument will perform during unforeseen market fluctuations.

Five Year Return 
 = 
(Mean of Monthly Returns - 1) 
X  
100% 

Five Year Return is considered one of the best measures to evaluate fund performance, especially from the mid and long term perspective. It shows the total annualized return generated from holding equity for the last five years and represents capital appreciation of the investment, including all dividends, losses, and capital gains distributions.

Five Year Return In A Nutshell

Utilizing the five year return allows you to see many different aspects the shorter term returns may omit. Business tendencies during different parts of the year may be picked up over a five year return. Also, you can take a look at different macro events such as the location of the business cycle as a whole.

A typical data point many review before investing is the return of an equity. Of course you look as far back as you would like, but typically there is the year to date, one year, three year, and five year, which is what we will be talking about in this article.

Closer Look at Five Year Return

If you are a day trader or short term trader, then the five year return approach may not fit your profile because you are looking more closely at the here and now, rather than what happened five years prior. For people who are looking to buy and hold, the five year return might be up your ally.

When looking at returns, it is important to narrow in on specifics because the five year return may not fit for every equity. If you are looking at a target date mutual fund, odds are the five year return will be steadily increasing due to its agenda. It is different too if you are looking at an ETF that tracks the broader market, which may not warrant a look at the five year return because the overall market tends to increase, even after difficult economic events such as 2008 and the great depression.

You can also utilize the five year return to look at where the stock has been compared to where you believe the stock can go, giving you a potential price target. Price targets do not have a set formula to use, but looking at historical events can certainly give you an insight to how a company may react if it were to happen again.

When looking into the past, you do not want to become romantic and lose sight of the future, because the company and yourself need to be forward looking. History is great to learn from and understand how a company or equity may react, but don’t let the hinder your ability to predict the future with as much accuracy as you can. Find the right return history for your current investing and trading profile and include it with your research. I would compare it to salt in a dish, enough makes everything pop, but too much can ruin what you already have.

Other Suggestions

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

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Recreation Theme
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