Lumentum Holdings Stock Analysis

LITE Stock  USD 42.06  0.05  0.12%   
Lumentum Holdings is undervalued with Real Value of 45.38 and Target Price of 51.7. The main objective of Lumentum Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Lumentum Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Lumentum Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Lumentum Holdings' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Lumentum Holdings' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Lumentum Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Lumentum Holdings is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Lumentum Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Lumentum Holdings' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lumentum Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For information on how to trade Lumentum Stock refer to our How to Trade Lumentum Stock guide.

Lumentum Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lumentum Holdings was now reported as 18.96. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.97. Lumentum Holdings recorded a loss per share of 3.95. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Lumentum Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. Lumentum Holdings operates under Communication Equipment classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 6815 people. To find out more about Lumentum Holdings contact Alan Lowe at 408 546 5483 or learn more at https://www.lumentum.com.

Lumentum Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

366.8 Million

Lumentum Holdings Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Lumentum Holdings' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Lumentum Holdings or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Lumentum Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lumentum Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (131.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 851.6 M.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Lumentum to Announce Fiscal Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results on May 6, 2024

Lumentum Holdings Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Lumentum Holdings to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Lumentum Holdings previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of August 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Lumentum Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Lumentum Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-02-04
2015-12-310.280.310.0310 
2015-11-10
2015-09-300.230.260.0313 
2017-08-09
2017-06-300.340.390.0514 
View All Earnings Estimates

Lumentum Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lumentum Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lumentum Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Lumentum Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lumentum Holdings' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Schroder Investment Management Group2023-12-31
1.4 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
1.3 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
1.1 M
Norges Bank
M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2023-09-30
M
Divisar Capital Management, Llc2023-09-30
945.2 K
Van Lanschot Kempen Investment Management Nv2023-12-31
939.3 K
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
9.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
7.2 M
Note, although Lumentum Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lumentum Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.83 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Lumentum Holdings's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Lumentum Holdings's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Lumentum Profitablity

Lumentum Holdings' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Lumentum Holdings' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Lumentum Holdings is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Lumentum Holdings' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Lumentum Holdings' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Lumentum Holdings' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.19) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.21) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.21.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.16  0.17 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.16  0.16 
Return On Equity 0.26  0.27 

Management Efficiency

Lumentum Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0296) % which means that it has lost $0.0296 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.1889) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Lumentum Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Lumentum Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.17. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.11. At present, Lumentum Holdings' Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 20.3 M, whereas Net Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to about 220.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 15.44  12.30 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 15.15  8.32 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 22.85  23.99 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.75  3.54 
Enterprise Value Multiple 22.85  23.99 
Price Fair Value 3.75  3.54 
Enterprise Value3.8 B3.7 B
The analysis of Lumentum Holdings' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Lumentum Holdings' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Lumentum Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.082

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of April, Lumentum Holdings secures the Mean Deviation of 2.38, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Standard Deviation of 3.89. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Lumentum Holdings, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirteen technical drivers for Lumentum Holdings, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Lumentum Holdings variance and value at risk to decide if Lumentum Holdings is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 42.06 per share. Given that Lumentum Holdings has information ratio of (0.10), we recommend you to check Lumentum Holdings's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Lumentum Holdings Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Lumentum Holdings middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Lumentum Holdings. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Lumentum Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Lumentum Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Lumentum Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Lumentum Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Lumentum Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Lumentum Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Lumentum Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Lumentum Holdings Corporate Filings

8K
27th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
20th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
12th of February 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
8th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
24th of January 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
18th of January 2024
An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K
ViewVerify

Lumentum Holdings Forecast Models

Lumentum Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Lumentum Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lumentum Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Lumentum Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Lumentum Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Lumentum shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Lumentum Holdings. By using and applying Lumentum Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Lumentum entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.10  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.11  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.20  0.21 
Gross Profit Margin 0.35  0.27 

Current Lumentum Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Lumentum analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Lumentum analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
51.7Buy17Odds
Lumentum Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Lumentum analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Lumentum stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Lumentum Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Lumentum conference calls.
Lumentum Analyst Advice Details

Lumentum Stock Analysis Indicators

Lumentum Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Lumentum Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Lumentum Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Lumentum Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Lumentum Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Long Term Debt2.5 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-874 M
Tax Provision29.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.711
Property Plant And Equipment Net566.8 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
Cash859 M
Accounts Payable169.4 M
Net DebtB
50 Day M A47.2896
Total Current Liabilities633.8 M
Other Operating Expenses1.9 B
Non Current Assets Total1.9 B
Forward Price Earnings19.4553
Common Stock Total Equity100 K
Non Currrent Assets Other16.8 M
Stock Based Compensation148.4 M
When determining whether Lumentum Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lumentum Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lumentum Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lumentum Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lumentum Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For information on how to trade Lumentum Stock refer to our How to Trade Lumentum Stock guide.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Lumentum Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lumentum Holdings. If investors know Lumentum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lumentum Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.711
Earnings Share
(3.95)
Revenue Per Share
21.25
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.28)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Lumentum Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumentum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumentum Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumentum Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumentum Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumentum Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumentum Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumentum Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumentum Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.