What are the odds of Advance Auto declining in March?

Advance Auto Accounts Payable Turnover is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Advance Auto reported last year Accounts Payable Turnover of 3.51. As of 16th of February 2021, Operating Margin is likely to grow to 9.96, while Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are likely to drop about 1.2 B. As some conservative investors are getting more into consumer cyclical space, Advance Auto Parts could be a your radar. We will evaluate why recent Advance Auto price moves suggest a bounce in March. Here I will also recap some basic indicators that the entity investors should consider in March.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Advance Auto Parts is fairly valued at 150.45 per share with modest projections ahead. Advance Auto has performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.1667, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Advance's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Advance Auto are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Advance Auto is likely to outperform the market. Although it is extremely important to respect Advance Auto Parts historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Advance Auto Parts technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0712% will be sustainable into the future. Advance Auto Parts right now shows a risk of 1.96%. Please confirm Advance Auto Parts variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Advance Auto Parts will be following its price patterns.
The performance of Advance Auto Parts in the marketplace will significantly impact your decision to invest in its stock. Revenue growth, profitability, competitive positioning, management quality, and industry trends can influence Advance Auto's stock prices. When investing in Advance Auto, there are several factors to consider and potential outcomes to expect. As a company performs well, its stock price may increase, allowing investors to benefit from price appreciation. However, Advance Stock can experience significant price fluctuations due to market conditions, economic factors, industry trends, or company-specific news. This is why investing in stocks such as Advance Auto carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Stock prices can decline, and investors may incur losses if they sell shares at a lower price than their initial investment.

And What about dividends?

A dividend is the distribution of a portion of Advance Auto earnings, decided and managed by the company's board of directors and paid to a class of its shareholders. Note, announcements of dividend payouts are generally accompanied by a proportional increase or decrease in a company's stock price. Advance Auto dividend payments follow a chronological order of events, and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment. Advance one year expected dividend income is about USD2.25 per share.
At this time, Advance Auto's Dividends Paid is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/24/2024, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.04, while Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to drop 0.40.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid209.3 M219.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.04 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.65  0.40 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(9.26)(8.79)
Investing in dividend-paying stocks, such as Advance Auto Parts is one of the few strategies that are good for long-term investment. Ex-dividend dates are significant because investors in Advance Auto must own a stock before its ex-dividend date to receive its next dividend.
This type of analysis is very useful when you want to generate a past dividend schedule and payout information for Advance Auto. Then that information in the form of graph and calendar can be used to fully explain how Du Pont dividends can provide a real clue to its valuation.

How important is Advance Auto's Liquidity

Advance Auto financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Advance Auto Parts ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Advance Auto financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Advance Auto's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Advance Auto's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Advance Auto's total debt and its cash.

What do experts say about Advance?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
Analysis Consensus

Breaking down Advance Auto Indicators

Advance Auto holds a total of sixty-seven million eight hundred fifty thousand outstanding shares. The majority of Advance Auto Parts outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Advance Auto Parts to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Advance Auto. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Advance Auto Parts as this could imply that something significant has changed or about to change at the company. Also note that nearly two million thirty-five thousand five hundred invesors are currently shorting Advance Auto expressing very little confidence in its future performance.
 2016 2017 2020 2021 (projected)
Consolidated Income459.62 M486.9 M528.57 M529.06 M
Direct Expenses5.31 B5.45 B4.78 B4.33 B

Ownership Breakdown

Institutions
102.28%
Retail Investors-2.65
Insiders0.37
Institutions102.28

Another small decline for Advance Auto

Kurtosis is down to 1.79. It may hint at a possible volatility decline. As of the 16th of February 2021, Advance Auto shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.001117), and Mean Deviation of 1.41. Advance Auto Parts technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate nineteen technical drivers for Advance Auto Parts, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Advance Auto Parts variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Advance Auto Parts is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 152.81 per share. Given that Advance Auto has jensen alpha of (0.01547), we suggest you to validate Advance Auto Parts's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Conclusion on Advance Auto

Although other companies in the specialty retail industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Advance Auto may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. With a relatively neutral outlook on the recent economy, it is better to hold off any trading of Advance as the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Advance Auto.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Advance Auto Parts. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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