AGNC Investment Story

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AGNC -- USA Stock  

USD 16.14  0.23  1.45%

As many baby boomers are indifferent towards real estate space, it makes sense to go over AGNC Investment Corp against current market trends. As expected, AGNC Investment is starting to reaffirm its true potential as investors are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. The returns on investing in AGNC Investment and the market returns of the last few months appear uncorrelated. The appearance of strong basic indicators of the company suggests a short-term price swing for investors of AGNC Investment. AGNC Investment Corp is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 5th of May 2021. The stock is in a buyout trend.
Published over a month ago
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Our current technical analysis of AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ:AGNC)
The company's average rating is Buy from 12 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on AGNC Investment market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of AGNC Investment. Let us look at a few aspects of AGNC Investment technical analysis. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (246.38) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AGNC Investment Corp. In general, we focus on analyzing AGNC Investment stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build AGNC Investment's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AGNC Investment's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for AGNC Investment, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect AGNC Investment price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AGNC Investment's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AGNC Investment in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AGNC Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AGNC Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AGNC Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AGNC Investment Corp.

How does AGNC Investment Stands against Peers?

Analyzing AGNC Investment competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to AGNC Investment across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out AGNC Investment Competition Details

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for AGNC Investment, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Acquisition by Kenneth Pollack of 29761 shares of AGNC Investment subject to Rule 16b-3

Legal trades by AGNC Investment insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
AGNC Investment insider trading alert for grant of common stock by Kenneth Pollack, SVP and General Counsel, on 3rd of March 2021. This event was filed by Agnc Investment Corp with SEC on 2021-03-03. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4. Kenneth Pollack currently serves as senior vice president chief compliance officer, general counsel, secretary of AGNC Investment Corp [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Closer look at AGNC Investment Variance

AGNC Investment Corp has current Variance of 1.16. Variance is another measure of security risk that shows the amount of dispersion of equity returns around their mean value. Variance is calculated as the average squared deviations from the mean. Evaluating a set of investment alternatives one can use variance to help determine the volatility when purchasing a specific security. Similar to Standard Deviation, the variance is a measure of how far a set of numbers is spread out around its mean.

Variance is also a measure of stock volatility and can help determine the risk an investor might take on when purchasing a specific security. A relatively big variance indicates that the daily prices or returns are far from the mean and a small variance indicates that they are located around the mean.

Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
 = 
1.16
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N = Number of points for the period
Let's now compare AGNC Investment Variance to its closest peers:
AGNC
DX
EARN
FREVS
ABR
AGNC1.1573905502580468
DX1.74
EARN3.47
FREVS12.0
ABR5.34

Will AGNC Investment continue to rise?

The variance is down to 1.16 as of today. AGNC Investment Corp has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of -1.13, Maximum Drawdown of 7.31 and kurtosis of 5.19. However, we advice all investors to further analyze AGNC Investment Corp to make certain all market information is desiminated and is consistent with the current expectations about AGNC Investment upside potential.

Our Conclusion on AGNC Investment

Whereas few other entities under the reit?mortgage industry are still a bit expensive, AGNC Investment may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. With a relatively neutral outlook on the current economy, it is better to hold off any trading of AGNC Investment as the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to AGNC Investment.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of AGNC Investment Corp. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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