Will Allete (NYSE:ALE) latest volatility spike continue?

Considering the 90-days investment horizon, Allete is expected to generate 1.09 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility. Although many risk-takers are getting more into utilities space, some of us are not very happy with Allete's current volatility. We will discuss how risky is to take a position in Allete at this time. The latest above-average Allete's volatility may impact the value of the stock as we project Allete as currently undervalued. The real value, according to our calculations, is approaching 62.47 per share.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Allete Inc has roughly 25.7 M in cash with 298.8 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Allete or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Allete may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Allete's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Allete and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Allete fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Allete's Liquidity

Allete financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Allete Inc ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Allete financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Allete's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Allete's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Allete's total debt and its cash.

Allete Gross Profit

Allete Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Allete previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Allete Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Allete's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Allete Volatility Drivers

Allete unsystematic risk is unique to Allete Inc and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Allete you can also buy Avista. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the utilities sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Allete important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Allete income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Allete volatility.
0.960.980.990.070.530.89-0.10.81-0.550.150.150.620.430.320.6-0.580.720.4-0.72-0.56-0.750.52
0.960.950.95-0.050.40.810.00.7-0.660.190.190.710.460.310.66-0.70.640.23-0.81-0.66-0.590.49
0.980.950.980.120.440.93-0.10.85-0.470.220.220.630.340.220.61-0.590.70.43-0.69-0.51-0.740.57
0.990.950.980.180.480.92-0.050.83-0.530.270.270.650.430.340.69-0.580.690.39-0.7-0.54-0.770.56
0.07-0.050.120.180.360.40.020.320.420.30.3-0.310.10.220.110.360.180.050.190.08-0.180.1
0.530.40.440.480.360.48-0.180.37-0.07-0.21-0.21-0.170.60.520.040.140.520.11-0.19-0.23-0.380.12
0.890.810.930.920.40.48-0.080.84-0.250.240.240.410.330.240.59-0.340.610.47-0.45-0.3-0.790.63
-0.10.0-0.1-0.050.02-0.18-0.08-0.17-0.240.30.30.10.090.170.180.09-0.13-0.450.160.120.170.04
0.810.70.850.830.320.370.84-0.17-0.160.380.380.51-0.03-0.090.36-0.420.850.64-0.45-0.35-0.760.44
-0.55-0.66-0.47-0.530.42-0.07-0.25-0.24-0.16-0.1-0.1-0.72-0.47-0.42-0.60.69-0.220.150.710.610.29-0.21
0.150.190.220.270.3-0.210.240.30.38-0.11.00.52-0.04-0.210.51-0.40.280.0-0.18-0.09-0.080.42
0.150.190.220.270.3-0.210.240.30.38-0.11.00.52-0.04-0.210.51-0.40.280.0-0.18-0.09-0.080.42
0.620.710.630.65-0.31-0.170.410.10.51-0.720.520.520.130.080.73-0.880.380.26-0.78-0.57-0.440.41
0.430.460.340.430.10.60.330.09-0.03-0.47-0.04-0.040.130.810.56-0.12-0.04-0.25-0.35-0.21-0.180.46
0.320.310.220.340.220.520.240.17-0.09-0.42-0.21-0.210.080.810.510.03-0.15-0.16-0.31-0.25-0.260.13
0.60.660.610.690.110.040.590.180.36-0.60.510.510.730.560.51-0.580.080.12-0.6-0.33-0.510.68
-0.58-0.7-0.59-0.580.360.14-0.340.09-0.420.69-0.4-0.4-0.88-0.120.03-0.58-0.39-0.130.90.740.29-0.33
0.720.640.70.690.180.520.61-0.130.85-0.220.280.280.38-0.04-0.150.08-0.390.34-0.44-0.5-0.470.09
0.40.230.430.390.050.110.47-0.450.640.150.00.00.26-0.25-0.160.12-0.130.34-0.110.11-0.750.34
-0.72-0.81-0.69-0.70.19-0.19-0.450.16-0.450.71-0.18-0.18-0.78-0.35-0.31-0.60.9-0.44-0.110.90.38-0.21
-0.56-0.66-0.51-0.540.08-0.23-0.30.12-0.350.61-0.09-0.09-0.57-0.21-0.25-0.330.74-0.50.110.90.150.15
-0.75-0.59-0.74-0.77-0.18-0.38-0.790.17-0.760.29-0.08-0.08-0.44-0.18-0.26-0.510.29-0.47-0.750.380.15-0.55
0.520.490.570.560.10.120.630.040.44-0.210.420.420.410.460.130.68-0.330.090.34-0.210.15-0.55
Click cells to compare fundamentals

An Additional Perspective On Allete Inc

The latest indifference towards the small price fluctuations of Allete Inc could raise concerns from shareholders as the firm it trading at a share price of 58.90 on slow start in volume. The company executives did not add any value to Allete investors in October. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with Allete Inc to hedge their inherited risk against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 4.22. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not so good earnings reports for some of the Allete partners.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Share Based Compensation6.6 M6.8 M6.3 M6.96 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations402.9 M433.1 M249.5 M295.37 M

Will Allete continue to go ballistic?

Sortino ratio is down to 0.12. It may indicate a possible volatility dip. Allete Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 5.86 and kurtosis of 42.5. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Allete Inc to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns.

Our Takeaway on Allete Investment

Although some other entities in the utilities—diversified industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Allete may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. With an optimistic outlook on your 30 days horizon, it may be a good time to buy new shares of Allete or increase your existing holdings in the Stock as it seems the potential growth has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Allete.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Allete Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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