Astronova Story

ALOT -- USA Stock

USD 17.08 0.73 4.46%

Macroaxis Story

While many traders are getting carried away by overanalyzing technology space, it is reasonable to review AstroNova. We are going to cover the possibilities of making AstroNova into your portfolio. What is the firm valuation so far in 2020? We are going to cover AstroNova perspective on valuation to give investors a better transparency on taking a position in it.

Published over six months ago

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Is AstroNova outlook positive for October 2020?

This firm currently holds 26.42 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.9916, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what AstroNova's beta means in this case. AstroNova returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AstroNova is expected to follow. Although it is extremely important to respect AstroNova historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing AstroNova technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0136% will be sustainable into the future. AstroNova right now shows a risk of 3.37%. Please confirm AstroNova value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price to decide if AstroNova will be following its price patterns.

We determine the current worth of Astronova using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Astronova based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Astronova's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Astronova's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Astronova. We calculate exposure to Astronova's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Astronova's related companies.

Astronova Investment Alerts

Astronova investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Astronova performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Astronova

Astronova Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Astronova value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Astronova competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Astronova.

How Astronova utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Astronova, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Astronova is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Astronova cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

Astronova Net Cash Flow from Operations is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Astronova reported Net Cash Flow from Operations of 15.54 Million in 2020

A Deeper look at Astronova

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 128.18 M. Net Income was 491 K with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.76 M.

	2017	2018	2019	2020 (projected)
Book Value per Share	9.21	10.14	10.16	10.44
Asset Turnover	1.1	1.16	1.12	1.21

Book Value per Share Asset Turnover

Margins Breakdown

AstroNova profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or AstroNova itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of AstroNova profit margins.

	EBITDA Margin	0.0735
	Gross Margin	0.36
	Profit Margin	0.0133

AstroNova Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD is increasing over the last 8 years. Further, AstroNova Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is comparatively stable at the moment. AstroNova Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD is comparatively stable at the moment. Further, AstroNova Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is comparatively stable at the moment.

Another 3 percent gain for AstroNova

The potential upside is down to 4.97 as of today. As of the 9th of September, AstroNova shows the Mean Deviation of 2.63, risk adjusted performance of 0.0172, and Downside Deviation of 3.44. AstroNova technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for AstroNova, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm AstroNova variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if AstroNova is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 7.15 per share. Given that AstroNova has jensen alpha of (0.001542), we suggest you to validate AstroNova's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Final Take On AstroNova

When is the right time to buy or sell AstroNova? Buying stocks such as AstroNova isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities, deliver winning trades and diversify portfolios on a daily bases. To summarize, as of the 9th of September 2020, our up-to-date 30 days buy-or-sell advice on the firm is Cautious Hold. We believe AstroNova is overvalued with below average odds of financial distress for the next two years.

About Contributor

Achuva Shats is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Achuva writes about retail product and service companies from the perspective of a regular consumer and sophisticated investor at the same time. She is passionate about corporate ethics and equality in the workforce View Profile

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of Astronova. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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