Will Alexanders (NYSE:ALX) low risk outlook last untill June?

9% of stocks are less volatile than Alexanders, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. While some risk-loving traders are indifferent towards current market volatility, it is reasonable to break down the risk of investing in Alexanders. We will cover the possibilities of Alexanders' current volatility to continue through June.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Alexanders has roughly 452.87 M in cash with 113.46 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 88.67.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Alexanders or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Alexanders may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Alexanders's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Alexanders and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Alexanders fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Alexanders's Liquidity

Alexanders financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Alexanders ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Alexanders financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Alexanders' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Alexanders' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Alexanders's total debt and its cash.

Alexanders Gross Profit

Alexanders Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Alexanders previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Alexanders Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Alexanders' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Alexanders Volatility Drivers

Alexanders unsystematic risk is unique to Alexanders and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Alexanders you can also buy Getty Realty. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the real estate sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Alexanders important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Alexanders income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Alexanders volatility.
0.920.990.090.110.230.920.80.040.770.77-0.790.10.71-0.350.550.270.320.560.430.930.74
0.920.90.160.180.110.880.780.030.780.78-0.730.250.62-0.190.680.120.180.660.320.870.71
0.990.90.020.040.20.920.78-0.030.760.76-0.850.180.75-0.320.580.20.370.620.520.950.65
0.090.160.021.00.060.120.240.170.220.220.360.13-0.130.37-0.070.18-0.5-0.16-0.470.080.4
0.110.180.041.00.070.140.260.170.240.240.340.14-0.110.37-0.060.18-0.49-0.15-0.460.10.42
0.230.110.20.060.070.120.210.010.050.05-0.15-0.180.15-0.48-0.180.940.0-0.22-0.130.160.36
0.920.880.920.120.140.120.840.090.840.84-0.840.260.72-0.190.730.130.360.720.540.970.67
0.80.780.780.240.260.210.840.120.770.77-0.70.090.61-0.280.630.250.480.580.430.830.71
0.040.03-0.030.170.170.010.090.120.140.140.11-0.230.03-0.12-0.060.14-0.05-0.15-0.17-0.030.32
0.770.780.760.220.240.050.840.770.141.0-0.660.490.490.150.710.020.170.670.560.850.71
0.770.780.760.220.240.050.840.770.141.0-0.660.490.490.150.710.020.170.670.560.850.71
-0.79-0.73-0.850.360.34-0.15-0.84-0.70.11-0.66-0.66-0.3-0.790.32-0.67-0.04-0.61-0.72-0.75-0.89-0.36
0.10.250.180.130.14-0.180.260.09-0.230.490.49-0.30.270.760.45-0.43-0.240.490.40.36-0.08
0.710.620.75-0.13-0.110.150.720.610.030.490.49-0.790.27-0.220.480.090.380.530.550.730.35
-0.35-0.19-0.320.370.37-0.48-0.19-0.28-0.120.150.150.320.76-0.220.09-0.61-0.590.1-0.02-0.16-0.23
0.550.680.58-0.07-0.06-0.180.730.63-0.060.710.71-0.670.450.480.09-0.240.350.970.690.70.31
0.270.120.20.180.180.940.130.250.140.020.02-0.04-0.430.09-0.61-0.240.02-0.3-0.250.120.47
0.320.180.37-0.5-0.490.00.360.48-0.050.170.17-0.61-0.240.38-0.590.350.020.390.650.4-0.06
0.560.660.62-0.16-0.15-0.220.720.58-0.150.670.67-0.720.490.530.10.97-0.30.390.770.710.2
0.430.320.52-0.47-0.46-0.130.540.43-0.170.560.56-0.750.40.55-0.020.69-0.250.650.770.60.01
0.930.870.950.080.10.160.970.83-0.030.850.85-0.890.360.73-0.160.70.120.40.710.60.61
0.740.710.650.40.420.360.670.710.320.710.71-0.36-0.080.35-0.230.310.47-0.060.20.010.61
Click cells to compare fundamentals

An Additional Perspective On Alexanders

The company reported the last year's revenue of 212.55 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 73.61 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 110.74 M.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income60.08 M41.94 M132.93 M123.27 M
Direct Expenses89.74 M88.4 M79.56 M75.38 M

Another 3 percent slide for Alexanders

Current standard deviation is at 1.19.
As of the 1st of May, Alexanders shows the mean deviation of 0.922, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.049967). Alexanders technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate nineteen technical drivers for Alexanders, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Alexanders standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Alexanders is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 248.17 per share. Given that Alexanders has jensen alpha of (0.027031), we suggest you to validate Alexanders's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Takeaway on Alexanders Investment

While some firms in the reit—retail industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Alexanders may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. The bottom line, as of the 1st of May 2022, our research shows that Alexanders is a rather very steady investment opportunity with a close to average odds of distress in the next two years. From a slightly different view, the entity currently appears to be undervalued. Our current 90 days advice on the company is Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Alexanders. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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