Arco Platform Story

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ARCE -- USA Stock  

USD 35.95  1.67  4.44%

Macroaxis News
By Ellen Johnson  
Macroaxis Story
While some planning is required to successfully invest in stocks, sometimes taking bold action is just as important. Let's try to digest why this may be the case with Arco Platform. We will analyze why Arco Platform investors may still consider a stake in the business. Arco Platform Limited is presently traded for 44.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01. The firm is forecasted to decline in value after the next press release, with the price expected to drop to 42.4. The average volatility of headline impact on the company stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.02 percent. Given the investment horizon of 30 days the next forecasted announcement will be in about 3 days.
Published over a month ago
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Should I drop my Arco Platform (NASDAQ:ARCE) holdings?
This firm's average rating is Buy from 2 analysts. Arco Platform advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (5.64) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average.
The successful prediction of Arco Platform stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Arco Platform Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arco Platform based on Arco Platform hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Arco Platform's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Arco Platform's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Arco Platform expected Price

Arco Platform technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Overlap Analysis
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Forecast Models
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Price Shifting
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Volatility Indicators
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Value Movement
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A focus of Arco Platform technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Arco Platform trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Arco Platform utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Arco Platform, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Arco Platform is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Arco Platform cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Arco Platform Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 32.18 Million

Breaking down Arco Platform Indicators

The small dip in market price for the last few months could raise concerns from shareholders as the firm it trading at a share price of 44.28 on 35,790 in volume. The company executives did not add much value to Arco Platform investors in October. However, diversifying your holdings with Arco Platform Limited or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 2.52. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in October 2020 as well as with Arco Platform unsystematic, company-specific events.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Current Assets210.04 M988.15 M1.03 B887.1 M
Total Assets430.41 M1.33 B3.16 B3.41 B

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Arco Platform Deferred Revenue is increasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Ongoing Deferred Revenue is projected to grow to about 27.6 M this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Arco Platform Deferred Revenue is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Deferred Revenue was at 25.63 Million
2010
2017
2018
2019
2020
20101.95 Million
20175.9 Million
20186 Million
201925.63 Million
202027.65 Million

Over 3 percent surge for Arco Platform. What does it mean for shareholders?

Latest downside deviation is at 2.43. Arco Platform Limited currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of 0.04. However, we do advice investors to further question Arco Platform Limited expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.

Our Final Takeaway

Although many of the other players under the education & training services industry are still a bit expensive, Arco Platform may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. On the whole, as of the 30th of November 2020, we believe Arco Platform is currently undervalued. It slowly supersedes the market and projects very small odds of financial distress in the next two years. Our ongoing 30 days 'Buy-Sell' recommendation on the firm is Hold.

About Contributor

Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Arco Platform Limited. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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