Alliance Story

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ARLP -- USA Stock  

USD 4.78  0.16  3.46%

As many of us are excited about energy space, it is fair to recap Alliance Resource Partners. We will try to explain if it is still possible for Alliance Resource to generate above-average margins. Is the firm current valuation justified for 2020? Here i will cover my perspective on valuation to give Alliance insiders a better outlook on taking a position in the stock.
Published over a month ago
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Should you hold on to your Alliance position?
The entity currently holds 778.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.76, which is about average as compared to similar companies. The firm has a current ratio of 1.16, suggesting that it is in a questionable position to pay out its financial obligations when due. Alliance Resource is UNDERVALUED at 3.60 per share with modest projections ahead.
We determine the current worth of Alliance Resource Partners using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Alliance Resource based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Alliance Resource's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alliance Resource's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alliance Resource. We calculate exposure to Alliance Resource's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alliance Resource's related companies.

Alliance Resource Investment Alerts

Alliance investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Alliance Resource Partners performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Alliance

Alliance Resource Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Alliance value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Alliance Resource competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Alliance.

How Alliance utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Alliance Resource, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Alliance Resource is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Alliance Resource cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Alliance Resource Net Cash Flow from Operations is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Alliance Resource reported last year Net Cash Flow from Operations of 514.89 Million

Breaking down Alliance Resource Indicators

Alliance Resource reported the previous year's revenue of 1.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (127.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 656.76 M.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Cost of Revenue1.13 B1.32 B1.3 B1.41 B
Consolidated Income304.2 M367.47 M406.93 M416.98 M

Margins Breakdown

Alliance profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Alliance Resource itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Alliance Resource profit margins.
EBITDA Margin0.39
Gross Margin0.38
Profit Margin0.19


Alliance Resource Average Equity is increasing over the last 8 years. Also, Alliance Resource Average Assets is increasing over the last 8 years. The recent value of Alliance Resource Average Assets is 2,487,712,487.

Will Alliance Resource recent roll up continue?

The coefficient of variation is down to -162876.0 as of today. Alliance Resource Partners exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.41 and kurtosis of 1.66. However, we advise investors to further study Alliance Resource Partners technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.

Our Final Take On Alliance Resource

Although many other companies within the thermal coal industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Alliance Resource may offer a potential longer-term growth to insiders. To summarize, as of the 26th of October 2020, our latest 30 days recommendation on the firm is Sell. However, we believe Alliance Resource is undervalued with close to average odds of financial distress for the next two years.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Alliance Resource Partners. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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