B, while Enterprise Value over EBITDA is likely to drop 3.99. The rationale for this perspective is to give insiders our take on Alliance future value. We will focus on the reasons why it could be a game-changer for Alliance Resource insiders. " name="Description" /> B, while Enterprise Value over EBITDA is likely to drop 3.99. The rationale for this perspective is to give insiders our take on Alliance future value. We will focus on the reasons why it could be a game-changer for Alliance Resource insiders. " /> B, while Enterprise Value over EBITDA is likely to drop 3.99. The rationale for this perspective is to give insiders our take on Alliance future value. We will focus on the reasons why it could be a game-changer for Alliance Resource insiders. " />

Are Alliance (NASDAQ:ARLP) insiders starting to hold back?

Alliance Resource Invested Capital is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Alliance Resource reported last year Invested Capital of 2.31 Billion. As of 1st of August 2022, Invested Capital Average is likely to grow to about 2.7 B, while Enterprise Value over EBITDA is likely to drop 3.99. The rationale for this perspective is to give insiders our take on Alliance future value. We will focus on the reasons why it could be a game-changer for Alliance Resource insiders.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Ellen Johnson

About 30.0% of Alliance Resource shares are held by company insiders. Insiders ownership of Alliance Resource refers to the amount of Alliance Resource equity owned by Alliance officers, directors, relatives of the leadership team, or anyone who has access to private information before it's made available to the public. Check out our latest analysis of Alliance, including its current ownership diagnostics.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alliance Resource. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Alliance Resource

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alliance Resource's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alliance Resource. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alliance Resource's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alliance Resource's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alliance Resource.

How important is Alliance Resource's Liquidity

Alliance Resource financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Alliance Resource Partners ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Alliance Resource financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Alliance Resource's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Alliance Resource's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Alliance Resource's total debt and its cash.

Alliance Resource Gross Profit

Alliance Resource Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Alliance Resource previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Alliance Resource Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Alliance Resource's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

An Additional Perspective On Alliance Resource

Alliance Resource Pt currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.16 and Jensen Alpha of 0.6. However, we advise investors to further question Alliance Resource Pt expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alliance Resource's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alliance Resource's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Alliance Resource Implied Volatility

Alliance Resource's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alliance Resource Pt stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alliance Resource's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alliance Resource stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alliance Resource's options are near their expiration.

Margin Breakdown

0.11
Profit Margin
0.3
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA Margin0.3
Gross Margin0.34
Profit Margin0.11

Alliance is expecting lower volatility in September

Recent expected short fall is at -3.28. Alliance Resource Pt currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.16 and Jensen Alpha of 0.6. However, we advise investors to further question Alliance Resource Pt expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alliance Resource's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alliance Resource's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Alliance Resource Implied Volatility

Alliance Resource's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alliance Resource Pt stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alliance Resource's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alliance Resource stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alliance Resource's options are near their expiration.

Our Final Take On Alliance Resource

Although some companies within the thermal coal industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Alliance Resource may offer a potential longer-term growth to insiders. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Alliance valuation and our trade advice on Alliance Resource is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Alliance Resource.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Alliance Resource Partners. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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