Aspen Story

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It appears Aspen may not recover as fast as we have hopped for as its price went down 3.03% today. The company's current daily volatility is 4.16 percent, with a beta of -0.16 and an alpha of 0.23 over DOW. As many millenniums are trying to avoid the newest volatility, we are going to review Aspen Group a little further to understand its historical price patterns. We will evaluate why recent Aspen price moves suggest a bounce in October.
Published over three months ago
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Breaking down Aspen (NASDAQ:ASPU) volatility drop
Aspen Group currently holds roughly 14.35 M in cash with (5.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.65. The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Aspen has an asset utilization ratio of 1088.53 percent. This implies that the company is making $10.89 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Aspen Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

How important is Aspen's Liquidity

Aspen financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Aspen Group ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Aspen financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Aspen's total debt and its cash.

How Aspen utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Aspen, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Aspen is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Aspen cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Aspen Net Cash Flow from Operations is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Aspen reported Net Cash Flow from Operations of (4.52 Million) in 2020

Breaking it down a bit more

Aspen appears to be somewhat reliable, given 1 month investment horizon. Aspen Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0728, which signifies that the company had 0.0728% of return per unit of risk over the last month. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aspen Group, which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Aspen Group Mean Deviation of 3.13, downside deviation of 3.53, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0648 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
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Can Aspen correct the newest drop?

The semi deviation is down to 3.4 as of today. Aspen Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Aspen Group further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Aspen future alpha.

Our Final Perspective on Aspen

Whereas some other firms in the education & training services industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Aspen may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. In closing, as of the 14th of September 2020, we believe that at this point, Aspen is somewhat reliable with very low chance of distress within the next 2 years. From a slightly different point of view, the entity appears to be fairly valued. However, our overall 30 days buy vs. sell advice on the firm is Strong Sell.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Aspen Group. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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