Aspen Story

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<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#800000;color: #F8F8FF;font-size:3em;'>ASP</div>
ASPU -- USA Stock  

USD 9.91  0.23  2.27%

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By Ellen Johnson  
Macroaxis Story
Today's article will review Aspen. Why are we still confident in our hopes for a recovery. Aspen Group is presently traded for 10.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.1. The firm is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12 percent. The volatility of related hype on Aspen is about 399.3% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.84 Given the investment horizon of 30 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Published over a month ago
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Is Aspen (NASDAQ:ASPU) losing trust from private investors?
The company's average rating is Strong Buy from 4 analysts. Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Aspen Group and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle.
The successful prediction of Aspen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aspen Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aspen based on Aspen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Aspen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aspen's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Aspen expected Price

Aspen technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Overlap Analysis
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Forecast Models
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Price Shifting
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Volatility Indicators
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Value Movement
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A focus of Aspen technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Aspen trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Aspen utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Aspen, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Aspen is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Aspen cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Aspen Net Cash Flow from Operations is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Aspen reported Net Cash Flow from Operations of (4.52 Million) in 2020

Breaking it down a bit more

Aspen Group reported the previous year's revenue of 53.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.42 M.

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Aspen Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be comparatively stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue will likely drop to about 2.5 M in 2020. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Aspen Deferred Revenue is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Aspen reported Deferred Revenue of 3.71 Million in 2019
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20121.04 Million
2014784,818
20151.01 Million
20161.35 Million
20171.81 Million
20182.46 Million
20193.71 Million
20202.5 Million

Our take on today Aspen drop

Coefficient Of Variation just dropped to -3517.22, may call for upcoming price decrease. Aspen Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.7 and kurtosis of 0.1. However, we advise investors to further study Aspen Group technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.

Our Final Take On Aspen

Whereas many other companies in the education & training services industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Aspen may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither trade nor exit any shares of Aspen at this time. The Aspen Group risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Aspen.

About Contributor

Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Aspen Group. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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