American Story

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AXL -- USA Stock  

USD 5.04  0.07  1.37%

While some baby boomers are getting worried about consumer cyclical space, it is reasonable to summarize American Axle Manufacturing against economic and market trends. We are going to address the reasons why we are still confident in anticipation of a recovery. American Axle Manufa hyperactively responds to market trends. A great deal of the actions of the company stock price movements has been a reflection of what is happening in the market overall. Steady forward indicators of the company may denote signs of medium-term price drift for stakeholders. American Axle Manufa is scheduled to announce its earnings tomorrow. The upcoming quarterly report is expected on the 31st of July 2020. The stock continues to experience an active downward rally.
Published over a month ago
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Will American Axle (NYSE:AXL) continue to pull down in August?
The company's average rating is Hold from 8 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on American Axle market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of American. Let us look at a few aspects of American technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Axle Manufacturing. In general, we focus on analyzing American Axle stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build American Axle's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Axle's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for American Axle, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect American Axle price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.

How does American Stands against Peers?

Analyzing American Axle competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to American Axle across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out American Axle Competition Details

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions. It is good to see analyst projects for American Axle, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Closer look at American Axle Semi Variance

American Axle Manufacturing has current Semi Variance of 20.44. Semi-variance provides a good measure of downside volatility for equity or a portfolio. It is similar to variance, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.

Semi-variance is the square of semi-deviation. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.

Semi Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ZERO) 
 = 
20.44
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual return deviation over selected period
N(ZERO) = Number of points with returns less than zero
Let's now compare American Axle Semi Variance to its closest peers:
AXL
GT
DLPH
DORM
ALV
AXL20.440703206417194
GT21.72
DLPH6.71
DORM3.89
ALV12.96

Chances of American Axle stakeholders to go bonkers

New market risk adjusted performance is at 0.48. American Axle Manufacturing is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize American Axle Manufacturing independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about American Axle volatility.

Our Bottom Line On American Axle Manufa

While some other firms within the auto parts industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, American Axle may offer a potential longer-term growth to stakeholders. With a somewhat neutral outlook on your 30 days horizon, it may be better to hold off any trading activity and neither buy new shares of American nor exit your existing holdings in the Stock. It seems the expected volatility has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to American Axle.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of American Axle Manufacturing. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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