American Story

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AXL -- USA Stock  

USD 5.04  0.07  1.37%

While some of us are excited about consumer cyclical space, it makes sense to summarize American Axle Manufacturing in greater detail to make a better perception of its potential. We are going to address the reasons why we are still confident in anticipation of a recovery. The returns on investing in American Axle and the market returns of the last few months appear not related. Sluggish forward indicators of the company may also denote signs of medium-term losses for American stakeholders. American Axle Manufa is scheduled to announce its earnings tomorrow. The upcoming quarterly report is expected on the 31st of July 2020. The stock continues to experience an active downward rally.
Published over a month ago
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Will American Axle (NYSE:AXL) price continue to hike in August?
The company's average rating is Hold from 8 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on American Axle market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of American. Let us look at a few aspects of American technical analysis. The company has Net Profit Margin of (16.69) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 6.58 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.07 of operating income.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Axle Manufacturing. In general, we focus on analyzing American Axle stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build American Axle's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Axle's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for American Axle, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect American Axle price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.

How does American Stands against Peers?

Analyzing American Axle competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to American Axle across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out American Axle Competition Details

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions. It is good to see analyst projects for American Axle, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Closer look at American Axle Semi Variance

American Axle Manufacturing has current Semi Variance of 20.48. Semi-variance provides a good measure of downside volatility for equity or a portfolio. It is similar to variance, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.

Semi-variance is the square of semi-deviation. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.

Semi Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ZERO) 
 = 
20.48
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual return deviation over selected period
N(ZERO) = Number of points with returns less than zero
Let's now compare American Axle Semi Variance to its closest peers:
AXL
GT
DLPH
DORM
ALV
AXL20.475897024599018
GT22.62
DLPH9.52
DORM4.35
ALV11.72

Will price continue to hike in August 2020?

American Axle new semi variance upsurges over 20.48. American Axle Manufacturing is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize American Axle Manufacturing independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about American Axle volatility.

The Bottom Line

While some other firms within the auto parts industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, American Axle may offer a potential longer-term growth to stakeholders. To conclude, as of the 30th of July 2020, our concluding 30 days buy-sell recommendation on the company is Strong Sell. We believe American Axle is currently overvalued with below average odds of financial turmoil for the next two years.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of American Axle Manufacturing. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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