BancFirst Story

BANF -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Macroaxis News
By Achuva Shats
In this story I am going to address all ongoing BancFirst shareholders. I will look into why despite ongoing dip, the longer-term fundamental drivers of the firm are still sound. In this post I will also go over different drivers effecting the organisation products and services and how it may effect the company investors. We consider BancFirst very steady. BancFirst secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1715 which signifies that the organization had 0.1715% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards foreseeing volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for BancFirst Corporation which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the firm. Please confirm BancFirst Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1889, Downside Deviation of 1.07 and Mean Deviation of 0.9241 to double-check if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.1991%.
BancFirst dips 0.08

I believe BancFirst is fairly valued at 60.05 per share with modest projections ahead. BancFirst has performance score of 11 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows Beta (market volatility) of 0.6176 which signifies that as returns on market increase, BancFirst returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding BancFirst will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is extremely important to respect BancFirst historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing BancFirst technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.1991% will be sustainable into the future. BancFirst right now shows a risk of 1.161%. Please confirm BancFirst Maximum Drawdown, and the relationship between Information Ratio and Downside Variance to decide if BancFirst will be following its price patterns.

BancFirst holds a total of thirty-two million six hundred seventy thousand outstanding shares. BancFirst Corporation retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how much assets the company secures, if the real value of the the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it. The modest gains experienced by current holders of BancFirst could raise concerns from investors as the firm closed today at a share price of 59.15 on 42853.000 in volume. The company directors and management have been quite successful with maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in October. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.161. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. BancFirst makes 34.2 z score. BancFirst is selling for under 59.41. That is 0.08 percent decrease. Day Low was 59.15. BancFirst Total Debt is rather stable at the moment. BancFirst Net Income Common Stock is rather stable at the moment. Additionally, BancFirst PPandE Turnover is rather stable at the moment.

In closing, our analysis show that BancFirst Almost mirrors market. The firm is fairly valued and projects probability of distress very small for the next 2 years. Our prevailing buy/sell recommendation on the firm is Buy.

BancFirst Valuation

Enterprise Value

Exercise or conversion by David Harlow of 200 shares of BancFirst subject to Rule 16b-3

BancFirst Corporation insider trading alert for exercise of non-qualified stock option (right to buy) by David Harlow, Regional Executive, on December 10, 2019. This event was filed by Bancfirst Corp with SEC on 2013-08-21. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4. David Harlow is currently serves as member of executive committee, regional executive of bancfirst and director of bancfirst of BancFirst [view details]   

About Contributor

Achuva Shats
   Achuva Shats is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Achuva writes about retail product and service companies from the prospective of a regular consumer and sophisticated investor at the same time. She is passionate about corporate ethics and equality in the workforce View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered as solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of BancFirst Corporation. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Story Momentum

This media report from Macroaxis distributed on November 26, 2019 was a factor to the next trading day price appreciation.The overall trading delta against the next closing price was 0.40% . The overall trading delta when the story was published against the current closing price is 1.46% .

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BancFirst is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies. Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in late 1960s at New York University..
Check also BancFirst Hype Analysis, BancFirst Correlation and BancFirst Performance. Please also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.