Volatility may be your only friend when it comes to investing in Build-A-Bear Workshop

The predictive indicators we use to evaluate Build-A-Bear help investors to analyze its daily demand and supply, volume, patterns, and price swings to determine the real value of Build-A-Bear Workshop. We apply different methods to arrive at the intrinsic value of Build-A-Bear based on widely used predictive technical indicators. In this post we will focus on Build-A-Bear Workshop. I will address few reasons this entity was abused by sophisticated investors due to the current market volatility.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Build-A-Bear Workshop and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 11.68 %, which may imply that it executes well on its competitive polices and has reasonable control over its expenses and variable costs. This is very large. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 12.65 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.13 of operating income.
The successful prediction of Build A stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Build A Bear Workshop, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Build A based on Build A hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Build A's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Build A's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Build expected Price

Build A technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Build A technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Build A trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Build A Gross Profit

Build A Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Build A previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Build A Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Build A's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Breaking down Build A Further

The latest Build-A-Bear Workshop price fall could raise concerns from sophisticated investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 14.79 on 1,016,851 in volume. The company directors and management were unable to exploit market volatilities in August. However, diversifying your overall positions with Build-A-Bear Workshop can protect your principal portfolio during market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.55. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Build-A-Bear Workshop partners.
 2011 2016 2020 2022 (projected)
Revenues USD394.38 M364.2 M411.52 M408.28 M
Revenues394.38 M364.2 M411.52 M408.28 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Build-A-Bear Workshop Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be fairly stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue will likely drop to about 3.4 M in 2022. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Build-A-Bear Workshop Deferred Revenue is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Build-A-Bear Workshop reported Deferred Revenue of 3.81 Million in 2021
2010
2011
2016
2020
2022
20103.93 Million
20116.72 Million
20162.59 Million
20203.81 Million
20223.37 Million

Are Build-A-Bear Workshop technical indicators showing a bounce-back?

Latest maximum drawdown is at 15.23. Build-A-Bear Workshop exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.14 and kurtosis of -0.05. However, we advise investors to further study Build-A-Bear Workshop technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Bottom Line On Build-A-Bear Workshop

While some other firms in the specialty retail industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Build-A-Bear may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. With a somewhat neutral outlook on your 90 days horizon, it may be better to hold off any trading activity and neither take in new shares of Build-A-Bear nor trade your existing holdings in the Stock. It seems the expected volatility has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Build-A-Bear Workshop.

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Editorial Staff

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