What is September outlook for Blucora (NASDAQ:BCOR)?

A current spike in volatility has left many retail investors looking confused. In this story, we will sum up Blucora. I will address few reasons this entity was abused by retail investors due to the current market volatility. Blucora is currently traded for 11.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Blucora is about 15055.35%. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next forecasted announcement will be in about 5 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Blucora and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. Blucora has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. The entity has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.51. The firm recorded a loss per share of 6.84. Blucora last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2008. This firm had 1:10 split on the 13th of September 2002.
The successful prediction of Blucora stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Blucora, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blucora based on Blucora hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Blucora's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Blucora's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Blucora expected Price

Blucora technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, delisted stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Blucora technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Blucora trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

A Deeper look at Blucora

The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 755.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (329.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 355.17 M.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Revenues USD509.56 M560.46 M717.95 M568.09 M
Revenues509.56 M560.46 M717.95 M568.09 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Blucora Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue is likely to drop to about 16.4 M. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Blucora Deferred Revenue is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Blucora reported last year Deferred Revenue of 19.19 Million
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
20139.32 Million
20148.23 Million
201513.42 Million
201614.01 Million
201710.76 Million
201818.84 Million
201919.19 Million
202016.42 Million

Blucora has a fair chance to close above $11.71 mark in September

Blucora latest variance advances over 22.41. As of the 5th of August, Blucora shows the mean deviation of 3.37, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.044072). Blucora technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Blucora, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Blucora variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Blucora is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 11.95 per share. Given that Blucora has jensen alpha of (0.19), we suggest you to validate Blucora's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

The Bottom Line

While some companies in the asset management industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Blucora may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. To conclude, as of the 5th of August 2020, our primary 30 days 'Buy-Sell' recommendation on the enterprise is Strong Sell. However, we believe Blucora is currently undervalued with close to average probability of financial unrest for the next two years.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Blucora. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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