Our latest technical analysis of Blucora (NASDAQ:BCOR)

While some baby boomers are getting worried about financial services space, it is reasonable to sum up Blucora against economic and market trends. As we have suggested previously, Blucora is beginning its fall as retail investors shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. Lots of the inclinations of the company stock price movements has been a rough manifestation of what is happening in the market overall. Invariable basic indicators of the enterprise may also connote signals of long-running gains for Blucora retail investors. Blucora is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 5th of May 2021.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Blucora's average rating is Strong Buy from 3 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Blucora market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Blucora. Let us look at a few aspects of Blucora technical analysis. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Blucora was currently reported as 7.47. Blucora has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.86. The entity recorded a loss per share of 5.74. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2008. Blucora had 1:10 split on the 13th of September 2002.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blucora. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Blucora stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Blucora's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Blucora's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Blucora, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Blucora price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blucora's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blucora. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blucora's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blucora's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blucora.

How important is Blucora's Liquidity

Blucora financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Blucora ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Blucora financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Blucora's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Blucora's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Blucora's total debt and its cash.

Closer look at Blucora Semi Deviation

Blucora has current Semi Deviation of 1.65. Semi-deviation provides a good measure of downside risk for a equity or a portfolio. It is similar to standard deviation, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.
Semi-deviation is the square root of semi-variance. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.
Semi Deviation 
=  
SQRT(SV) 
 = 
1.65
SQRT = Square root notation
SV =   Blucora semi variance of returns over selected period
Let's now compare Blucora Semi Deviation to its closest peers:
BCOR
AB
BK
BX
CG
BCOR1.647228905499822
AB1.77
BK1.87
BX0.73
CG0.82

Will Blucora recoup in March?

The sortino ratio is down to 0.25 as of today. Blucora has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.6 and kurtosis of 1.86. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Blucora to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns.

Our Conclusion on Blucora

While many of the other players in the asset management industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Blucora may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. Taking everything into account, as of the 17th of February 2021, our analysis shows that Blucora responds to the market. The enterprise is undervalued and projects below average probability of bankruptcy for the next 2 years. Our ongoing 30 days buy-or-sell advice on the enterprise is Strong Buy.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Blucora. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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