Biocryst Stock Story

BCRX
 Stock
  

USD 14.25  0.38  2.60%   

Biocryst Pharma is currently generating 0.7176% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.562% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. While many risk-averse investors are getting carried away by overanalyzing healthcare space, it is reasonable to break down Biocryst Pharma. We will evaluate if Biocryst Pharma's current volatility will continue into September. The current above-average Biocryst Pharma's volatility may impact the value of the stock as we project Biocryst Pharma as currently undervalued. The real value, according to our calculations, is approaching 13.17 per share.
Published over a week ago
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Will Biocryst Pharma (NASDAQ:BCRX) current volatility spike continue?

This firm currently holds 593.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.4, implying Biocryst Pharma greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. The company has a current ratio of 5.35, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Biocryst Pharma until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Biocryst Pharma's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Biocryst Pharma sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Biocryst to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Biocryst Pharma's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Biocryst Pharma or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Biocryst Pharma may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Biocryst's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Biocryst Pharma and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Biocryst Pharma fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Biocryst Pharma's Liquidity

Biocryst Pharma financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Biocryst Pharma ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Biocryst Pharma financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Biocryst Pharma's total debt and its cash.

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for Biocryst Pharma, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Biocryst Pharma Volatility Drivers

Biocryst Pharma unsystematic risk is unique to Biocryst Pharma and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Biocryst Pharma you can also buy Walt Disney. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the biotechnology sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Biocryst Pharma important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Biocryst Pharma income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Biocryst volatility.
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