The company has a beta of 0.6757. Let's try to break down what Bar Harbor's beta means in this case. Bar Harbor returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bar Harbor is expected to follow. The beta indicator helps investors understand whether Bar Harbor moves in the same direction as the rest of the market, and how volatile (i.e., risky) it is compared to the market (i.e., selected benchmark). In other words, if Bar Harbor deviates very little from the market, it does not add much risk to the portfolio, but it also doesn't increase the expected returns.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as
predicting future values of individual securities such as Bar Harbor Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the
market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Predictive Modules for Bar Harbor
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed
many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bar Harbor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bar Harbor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bar Harbor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bar Harbor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bar Harbor Bankshares.
How important is Bar Harbor's Liquidity
Bar Harbor
financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Bar Harbor Bankshares ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Bar Harbor financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Bar Harbor's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Bar Harbor's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the
breakdown between Bar Harbor's total debt and its cash.
Bar Harbor Gross Profit
Bar Harbor Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Bar Harbor previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Bar Harbor Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Bar Harbor's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
What is the case for Bar Harbor Investors
Bar Harbor Bankshares currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.02. However, we do advice investors to further question Bar Harbor Bankshares expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
Returns Breakdown
| Return on Assets | 0.006947 |
| Return on Equity | 0.0696 |
| Return Capital | 0.007411 |
| Return on Sales | 0.28 |
Analysis of Bar Harbor Bankshares
Bar Harbor current downside variance builds up over 7.82. As of the 17th of October 2020, Bar Harbor shows the Downside Deviation of 2.8,
mean deviation of 1.74, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0312. Bar Harbor Bankshares
technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of
historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of
historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We have analyze and collected data for nineteen
technical drivers for Bar Harbor Bankshares, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm
Bar Harbor Bankshares value at risk,
expected short fall, and the
relationship between the
treynor ratio and
downside variance to decide if Bar Harbor Bankshares is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 21.82 per share. Given that Bar Harbor has
jensen alpha of
(0.01781), we suggest you to validate Bar Harbor Bankshares's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Our Takeaway on Bar Harbor Investment
Whereas many of the other players in the banks—regional industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Bar Harbor may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. The bottom line, as of the 17th of October 2020, our research shows that Bar Harbor is a rather very steady investment opportunity with a
close to average probability of distress in the next two years. From a slightly different view, the entity currently appears to be
undervalued. Our final 30 days advice on the company is
Hold.
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Vlad Skutelnik is a Macroaxis Contributor. Vlad covers stocks, funds, cryptocurrencies, and ETFs that are traded in North America, focusing primarily on fundamentals, valuation and market volatility. He has many years of experience in fintech, predictive investment analytics, and risk management.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Bar Harbor Bankshares. Please refer to our
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