Time to opt in on Popular is now

This piece is geared to all Popular insiders as well as to investors considering exiting their position in the corporate body. I will focus on the cause of why it is still reasonable for the corporate body to generate above average margins and lots of cash flow. Popular current daily volatility is 1.19 percent, with beta of 0.22 and alpha of -0.19 over S&P 500. What is Popular Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Contingent on normal probability distribution, the odds of Popular to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 90.26%. The Popular probability density function shows the probability of Popular Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Popular has beta of 0.2249 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Popular average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Popular will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Popular is significantly underperforming S&P 500.
Published over a year ago
View all stories for Popular | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

The entity currently holds 1.55B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.01 indicating the stock may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The company dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. This firm one year expected dividend income is about $0.52 per share. Earning per share calculations of the firm is based on official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding Popular future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 80.55%, the future earnings per share of the company is estimated to be 6.59 with lowest and highest values of 6.59 and 6.59 respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for the entity is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses.
Popular financial leverage ratio helps determine the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures the total debt position of Popular, including all of Popular's outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of Popular assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall Popular debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business is and if it is worth investing in it. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Understanding Popular Total Liabilities

Popular liabilities are broken down into two parts on the balance sheet. These are short-term (or current) obligations and long-term debt. Popular has to fulfill its short-term liabilities in this reporting year and should be no more than 12 months old. Long-term debt, on the other hand, is anything beyond the 12-month payment timeframe. Common short-term liabilities found on Popular balance sheet include debt obligations and money owed to different Popular vendors, workers, and loan providers. Below is the chart of Popular short long-term liabilities accounts currently reported on its balance sheet.
You can use Popular financial leverage analysis tool to get a better grip on understanding its financial position

How important is Popular's Liquidity

Popular financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Popular ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Popular financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Popular's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Popular's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Popular's total debt and its cash.

A Deeper look at Popular

Popular price decrease over the last few months could raise concerns from investors as the company closed today at a share price of 52.25 on 643822.000 in volume. The company executives were not very successful in positioning the company components to exploit market volatility in May. However, diversifying your holdings with Popular or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.1871. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Popular discloses 1.05b in retained earnings. Popular is trading at 52.33. This is 1.45 percent decrease. Day Low was 52.25. Popular Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is very stable at the moment.
Average EquityEarnings before Tax
 2008 0.00  0.00 
 2009 0.00  0.00 
 2018 0.00  0.00 
 2019 (projected) 0.00  0.00 
Taking everything into account, we see that Popular Slowly supersedes market. The corporate body is undervalued with below average chance of bankruptcy within the next 24 months. Our ongoing buy or sell advice on the corporate body is Hold.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Popular. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com