Should I invest in Popular in short term?

Today I will recap Popular. I will evaluate if Popular shares are reasonably priced going into November. Popular almost mirrors market. The returns on the market and returns on Popular appear somewhat reactive to each other for the last few months. The symptom of unfluctuating forward-looking indicators of the corporate body hints at short term momentum price swing for insiders of the corporate body. What is Popular Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Contingent on normal probability distribution, the odds of Popular to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.24%. The Popular probability density function shows the probability of Popular Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Popular has beta of 0.7409 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Popular average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Popular will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Popular is significantly underperforming Russell 2000 .
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

Popular average rating is Strong Buy from 2 analysts. As of 26 of October Popular holds Coefficient Of Variation of (2,750) and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05). Popular technical analysis gives you tools to exploit past prices in attempt to determine a pattern that determines the direction of the company future prices. In other words you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data or the prices will eventually revert. We found nineteen technical drivers for Popular which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Popular Coefficient Of Variation, Treynor Ratio as well as the relationship between Treynor Ratio and Semi Variance to decide if Popular is priced some-what accurately providing market reflects its current price of 54.92 per share. Given that Popular has Jensen Alpha of (0.06), we recommend you check out Popular recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at future point.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Popular. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Popular stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Popular's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Popular's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Popular, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Popular price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Popular's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Popular. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Popular's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Popular's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Popular.

How does Popular Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Popular competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Popular across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out Popular Competition Details

Popular Gross Profit

Popular Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Popular previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Popular Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Popular's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

A Deeper look at Popular

The small decline in market price for the last few months could raise concerns from investors as the company closed today at a share price of 54.18 on 0 in volume. The company executives did not add much value to Popular investors in September. However, diversifying your holdings with Popular or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.4565. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Popular makes 37.03  cash per share. Popular is selling for 54.92. This is 1.33% increase. Today lowest is 54.18. Popular Net Income Common Stock is decreasing over the last 4 years. Further, Popular Total Debt USD is increasing over the last 4 years.
 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (projected)
Popular Cash and Equivalents Turnover 0.26  0.19  0.16  0.16  0.25 
Popular PPandE Turnover 4.26  3.68  3.93  4.77  5.09 
All in all, we belive that Popular is currently undervalued with below average probability of distress in the next two years. Our overall 'Buy vs. Hold vs. Sell' recommendation on the corporate body is Strong Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Popular. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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