Peabody Story

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BTU -- USA Stock  

USD 4.03  0.07  1.77%

Macroaxis News
By Achuva Shats  
Macroaxis Story
As many millenniums are trying to avoid energy space, it makes sense to review Peabody Energy a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. As expected, Peabody Energy is starting to reaffirm its true potential as private investors are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. The returns on the market and returns on Peabody Energy appear slightly related to each other for the last few months. Uncertain basic indicators of the firm may also call for signs of mid-term losses for Peabody private investors. The upcoming quarterly report is expected on the 3rd of February 2021. The stock is currently undergoing an active upward rally.
Published over a week ago
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Will Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) price continue to gain in February?
Peabody Energy's average rating is Hold from 6 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Peabody Energy market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Peabody. Let us look at a few aspects of Peabody technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Peabody Energy. In general, we focus on analyzing Peabody Energy stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Peabody Energy's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Peabody Energy's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Peabody Energy, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Peabody Energy price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Peabody Energy's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Peabody Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
Details
Naive
Forecast
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Peabody Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Peabody Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Peabody Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Peabody Energy.

How does Peabody Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Peabody Energy competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Peabody Energy across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Peabody Energy Competition Details

How Peabody utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Peabody Energy, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Peabody Energy is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Peabody Energy cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Peabody Energy Net Cash Flow from Operations is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Peabody Energy reported Net Cash Flow from Operations of 779.01 Million in 2020

Closer look at Peabody Energy Downside Variance

Peabody Energy has current Downside Variance of 48.11. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.

Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.

Downside Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ER) 
 = 
48.11
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period
Let's now compare Peabody Energy Downside Variance to its closest peers:
BTU
NC
CCR
NRP
BTU48.11
NC8.17
CCR21.75
NRP7.75

Our take on today Peabody Energy gain

Newest skewness is at 1.82. Peabody Energy is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Peabody Energy independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Peabody Energy volatility.

Our Conclusion on Peabody Energy

Whereas some other entities under the thermal coal industry are still a bit expensive, Peabody Energy may offer a potential longer-term growth to private investors. The bottom line, as of the 4th of January 2021, our analysis shows that Peabody Energy almost neglects market trends. The firm is overvalued and projects below average odds of financial turmoil for the next 2 years. Our present 30 days Buy-Hold-Sell recommendation on the firm is Strong Sell.

About Contributor

Achuva Shats is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Achuva writes about retail product and service companies from the perspective of a regular consumer and sophisticated investor at the same time. She is passionate about corporate ethics and equality in the workforce View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of Peabody Energy. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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