Bavarian Nordic ADR's average rating is Strong Buy from 1 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Bavarian Nordic market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Bavarian. Let us look at a few aspects of Bavarian technical analysis.
Using predictive
technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and
diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bavarian Nordic AS. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Bavarian Nordic stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Bavarian Nordic's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as
momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional
technical analysis and
fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of
Bavarian Nordic's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Bavarian Nordic, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Bavarian Nordic price patterns. Please read more on our
technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed
many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bavarian Nordic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bavarian Nordic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bavarian Nordic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bavarian Nordic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bavarian Nordic AS.
How does Bavarian Stands against Peers?
Analyzing Bavarian Nordic competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Bavarian Nordic across multiple sectors and
thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out
Bavarian Nordic Competition DetailsCloser look at Bavarian Nordic Semi Deviation
Bavarian Nordic ADR has current Semi Deviation of 4.83. Semi-deviation provides a good measure of downside risk for a equity or a portfolio. It is similar to standard deviation, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.
Semi-deviation is the square root of semi-variance. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.
Semi Deviation | = | SQRT(SV) |
| = | 4.83 |
Will Bavarian Nordic growth be rational after the rise?
Maximum drawdown is down to 90.33. It may suggest a possible volatility slide. Bavarian Nordic ADR is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Bavarian Nordic ADR independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Bavarian Nordic volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bavarian Nordic's otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bavarian Nordic's otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
Bavarian Nordic Implied Volatility
The Bottom Line
While few other entities within the biotechnology industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Bavarian Nordic may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. To sum up, as of the 23rd of July 2022, our final 90 days buy-sell recommendation on the company is
Hold. We believe Bavarian Nordic is currently
overvalued with
below average probability of bankruptcy for the next two years.
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Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Bavarian Nordic AS. Please refer to our
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