What is February outlook for CACI International (NYSE:CACI)?

In general, we focus on analyzing CACI International (NYSE:CACI) price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build CACI International daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers. In this post we will concentrate on CACI International. We will evaluate if CACI International shares are reasonably priced going into February.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Macroaxis provides trade advice on CACI International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on CACI International. Our advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 5.97 %, which can signify that it executes well on its competitive strategies and has good control over its expenditures. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 10.47 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.1.
The successful prediction of CACI International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CACI International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CACI International based on CACI International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to CACI International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CACI International's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project CACI expected Price

CACI International technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of CACI International technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of CACI International trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

CACI International Gross Profit

CACI International Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing CACI International previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show CACI International Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check CACI International's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is CACI International valued properly by the market?

CACI International reported the previous year's revenue of 5.82 B. Net Income was 347.15 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2 B.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Consolidated Income265.6 M321.48 M369.7 M301.43 M
Direct Expenses3.3 B3.72 B3.35 B2.91 B

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

CACI International Cost of Revenue is increasing over the last several years with slightly volatile swings. Cost of Revenue is predicted to flatten to about 3.8 B. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. CACI International Cost of Revenue is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Cost of Revenue was reported at 4.28 Billion
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
20142.19 Billion
20152.49 Billion
20162.93 Billion
20172.98 Billion
20183.3 Billion
20193.72 Billion
20204.28 Billion
20213.83 Billion

CACI International has a small chance to finish above $258 in 2 months

Current expected short fall is at -1.24. CACI International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.56 and kurtosis of 2.27. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate CACI International to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns.

Our Bottom Line On CACI International

While some other companies within the information technology services industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, CACI International may offer a potential longer-term growth to stockholders. All things considered, as of the 26th of January 2021, we believe that at this point, CACI International is undervalued with very small probability of bankruptcy within the next 2 years. Our current buy-hold-sell advice on the company is Strong Buy.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of CACI International. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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