Caci International Story

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Raphi Shpitalnik Story
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CACI -- USA Stock  

USD 218.38  0.34  0.16%

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By Raphi Shpitalnik  
Macroaxis Story
In general, we focus on analyzing CACI International (NYSE:CACI) price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build CACI International daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers. In this post we will concentrate on CACI International. We will evaluate if CACI International shares are reasonably priced going into February.
Published over a month ago
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What is February outlook for CACI International (NYSE:CACI)?
Macroaxis provides trade advice on CACI International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on CACI International. Our advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 5.97 %, which can signify that it executes well on its competitive strategies and has good control over its expenditures. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 10.47 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.1.
The successful prediction of Caci International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caci International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caci International based on Caci International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Caci International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Caci International's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Caci International expected Price

Caci International technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Overlap Analysis
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Forecast Models
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Price Shifting
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Volatility Indicators
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Value Movement
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A focus of Caci International technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Caci International trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for Caci International, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Bona fide gift to John Mengucci of 425 shares of Caci International subject to Section 16

Legal trades by Caci International insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Caci International insider trading alert for gift of caci common stock by John Mengucci, President & CEO, on 18th of February 2021. This event was filed by Caci International Inc with SEC on 2021-02-18. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4. John Mengucci currently serves as coo and president of u.s. operations of Caci International [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Breaking down Caci International Indicators

CACI International reported the previous year's revenue of 5.82 B. Net Income was 347.15 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2 B.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Consolidated Income265.6 M321.48 M369.7 M301.43 M
Direct Expenses3.3 B3.72 B3.35 B2.91 B

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

CACI International Cost of Revenue is increasing over the last several years with slightly volatile swings. Cost of Revenue is predicted to flatten to about 3.8 B. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. CACI International Cost of Revenue is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Cost of Revenue was reported at 4.28 Billion
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
20142.19 Billion
20152.49 Billion
20162.93 Billion
20172.98 Billion
20183.3 Billion
20193.72 Billion
20204.28 Billion
20213.83 Billion

CACI International has a small chance to finish above $258 in 2 months

Current expected short fall is at -1.24. CACI International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.56 and kurtosis of 2.27. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate CACI International to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns.

Our Bottom Line On CACI International

While some other companies within the information technology services industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, CACI International may offer a potential longer-term growth to stockholders. All things considered, as of the 26th of January 2021, we believe that at this point, CACI International is undervalued with very small probability of bankruptcy within the next 2 years. Our current buy-hold-sell advice on the company is Strong Buy.

About Contributor

Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time base at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real test for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Caci International. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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