Commerce Story

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CBSH -- USA Stock  

USD 54.07  0.31  0.58%

Commerce Bancshares Invested Capital is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Invested Capital was reported at 26.88 Billion. The current Invested Capital Average is estimated to increase to about 27.5 B, while Net Income Per Employee is projected to decrease to roughly 71.6 K. There are many examples of share prices dropping after an abrupt shift in one of the technical and fundamental indicators. Let's concentrate on some of Commerce Bancshares' important ratios. We will evaluate if Commerce Bancshares shares are reasonably priced going into August. The company current odds of distress is under 44 percent. Will stockholders continue to be optimistic, or should we expect a sell-off?
Published over two months ago
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Should you drop your Commerce Bancshares holdings?
Commerce Bancshares has performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.3907, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Commerce's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Commerce Bancshares will likely underperform. Although it is extremely important to respect Commerce Bancshares historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Commerce Bancshares technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0795% will be sustainable into the future. Commerce Bancshares right now shows a risk of 3.02%. Please confirm Commerce Bancshares total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power to decide if Commerce Bancshares will be following its price patterns.
Typically, a company's financial statements are the reports that show the financial position of the company. There are three main documents that fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Commerce Bancshares income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows. Potential Commerce Bancshares investors and stakeholders use financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned to perform in the future. Although Commerce Bancshares investors may use each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Commerce Bancshares's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Commerce Bancshares's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet, but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages. The goal of Commerce Bancshares fundamental analysis is to do accurate financial forecasts. There are several possible objectives to fundamental analysis, such as projecting of Commerce Bancshares performance into the future periods or doing a reasonable stock valuation. The intrinsic value of Commerce Bancshares shares is the value that is considered the true value of the share. If the intrinsic value Commerce is higher than its market price, buying is generally recommended. If it is equal to the market price, it is recommended to hold; and if it is less than the market price, then one should sell all shares Commerce Bancshares. Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Are Commerce Bancshares Earnings Expected to grow?

The future earnings power of Commerce Bancshares involves the interaction of many company-specific, industry, and economic forces. Earnings estimates embody investors' opinions of Commerce Bancshares factors such as sales growth, product demand, competitive industry environment, profit margins, and cost controls. Commerce Bancshares stock prices adjust as these expectations change or are proven wrong. The main thing to remember is that equities with high expected earnings growth tend to underperform the market because it is usually difficult to meet the market's high expectations. Companies with low earnings expectations tend to do better than expected. Please use our latest analysis of Commerce expected earnings.

And What about dividends?

A dividend is the distribution of a portion of Commerce Bancshares earnings, decided and managed by the company's board of directors and paid to a class of its shareholders. Note, announcements of dividend payouts are generally accompanied by a proportional increase or decrease in a company's stock price. Commerce Bancshares dividend payments follow a chronological order of events, and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment. Commerce one year expected dividend income is about $0.7 per share.
The current Dividend Yield is estimated to increase to 0.0151, while Preferred Dividends Income Statement Impact is projected to decrease to roughly 10.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for 2020
Preferred Dividends Income Statement Impact10.3 M10.2 M
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions-113.5 M-122.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.015  0.0151 
Dividends per Basic Common Share 1.04  0.95 
Investing in dividend-paying stocks, such as Commerce Bancshares is one of the few strategies that are good for long-term investment. Ex-dividend dates are significant because investors in Commerce Bancshares must own a stock before its ex-dividend date to receive its next dividend. This type of analysis is very useful when you want to generate a past dividend schedule and payout information for Commerce Bancshares. Then that information in the form of graph and calendar can be used to fully explain how Du Pont dividends can provide a real clue to its valuation.

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions. It is good to see analyst projects for Commerce Bancshares, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Commerce Bancshares Gross Profit

Commerce Bancshares Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Commerce Bancshares previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Commerce Bancshares Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Gross Profit in more details.

Commerce Bancshares exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Commerce Bancshares insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Commerce insider trading alert for general transaction of common stock by John Kemper, President and CEO, on 22nd of September 2020. This event was filed by Commerce Bancshares Inc with SEC on 2020-09-22. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4. John Kemper currently serves as president, coo, director, member of executive committee and president of commerce bank of Commerce Bancshares [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

What is driving Commerce Bancshares Investor Appetite?

Institutional investors typically avoid acquiring a high percentage of Commerce Bancshares stocks because performing such an act may violate securities laws. They are usually not investing their own money, but rather making investments on behalf of their clients. Let's take a look at how the ownership of Commerce is distributed among investors.

Ownership Allocation

Commerce Bancshares holds a total of one hundred eleven million five hundred thirty thousand outstanding shares. The majority of Commerce Bancshares outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Commerce Bancshares to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Commerce Bancshares. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Commerce Bancshares as this could imply that something significant has changed or about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how much assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Retail Investors
24.94%
Institutions
71.98%
Retail Investors24.94
Insiders3.08
Institutions71.98
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
PPandE Turnover3.834.164.133.59
Calculated Tax Rate25.6719.4720.5127.25

Commerce Bancshares has 89 percent odds to go over $55 this year

Commerce Bancshares current semi deviation boosts over 2.77. Commerce Bancshares currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.04 and Jensen Alpha of -0.19. However, we do advice investors to further question Commerce Bancshares expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.

Our Conclusion on Commerce Bancshares

While other entities in the banks?regional industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Commerce may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. To conclude, as of the 21st of July 2020, our analysis shows that Commerce Bancshares responds to the market. The company is overvalued and projects below average probability of financial unrest for the next 2 years. Our current 30 days buy-or-sell advice on the company is Cautious Hold.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Commerce Bancshares. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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