Cadiz Story

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CDZI -- USA Stock  

USD 10.04  0.29  2.97%

Let's try to concentrate on what's happening with Cadiz amid unprecedented political, and economic uncertainty. Cadiz Inc is currently traded for 9.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.06. The firm is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price going to jump to 9.31. The current volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Cadiz is about 616.4% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.33 Given the investment horizon of 30 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Published over a week ago
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Will Cadiz (NASDAQ:CDZI) price continue dropping?
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0702, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Cadiz's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Cadiz returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cadiz will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Cadiz Inc historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy in foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Cadiz Inc exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Cadiz Inc has an expected return of -0.24%. Please be advised to confirm Cadiz Inc maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall to decide if Cadiz Inc stock performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
The successful prediction of Cadiz stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cadiz Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cadiz based on Cadiz hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cadiz's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cadiz's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Cadiz expected Price

Cadiz technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Cadiz technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Cadiz trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Cadiz utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Cadiz, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Cadiz is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Cadiz cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Cadiz Net Cash Flow from Operations is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Net Cash Flow from Operations was reported at (13.43 Million)

Acquisition by Richard Nevins of 1297 shares of Cadiz subject to Rule 16b-3

Legal trades by Cadiz insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Cadiz insider trading alert for grant of common stock by Richard Nevins, the corporate stakeholder, on 5th of April 2021. This event was filed by Cadiz Inc with SEC on 2021-04-05. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Breaking down Cadiz Indicators

This firm reported the previous year's revenue of 512 K. Net Loss for the year was (37.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 441 K.

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Cadiz Deferred Revenue is increasing over the last several years with slightly volatile swings. Deferred Revenue is estimated to finish at about 881.5 K this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Cadiz Deferred Revenue is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Deferred Revenue was reported at 862,500

Another 3 percent rise for Cadiz

The skewness is down to 0.39 as of today.
As of the 28th of March, Cadiz shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.005355), and Mean Deviation of 1.11. Cadiz Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Cadiz Inc, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Cadiz Inc standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Cadiz Inc is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 9.27 per share. Given that Cadiz has jensen alpha of (0.045452), we suggest you to validate Cadiz Inc's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Final Take On Cadiz

While some firms in the utilities?regulated water industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Cadiz may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither purchase nor exit any shares of Cadiz at this time. The Cadiz Inc risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Cadiz.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Cadiz Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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