On a scale of 0 to 100, Chemung Financial holds a
performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.7959, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Chemung's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Chemung Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Chemung Financial is likely to outperform the market. Although it is vital to follow
Chemung Financial Corp historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy in foreseeing
future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all
available fundamental and
technical indicators. We have found twenty-eight
technical indicators for Chemung Financial Corp, which you can use to evaluate the performance of the firm. Please makes use of Chemung Financial Corp
potential upside,
rate of daily change, and the
relationship between the
sortino ratio and
skewness to make a quick decision on whether Chemung Financial
price patterns will revert.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as
predicting future values of individual securities such as Chemung Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the
market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Predictive Modules for Chemung Financial
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed
many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chemung Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chemung Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chemung Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chemung Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chemung Financial Corp.
How important is Chemung Financial's Liquidity
Chemung Financial
financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Chemung Financial Corp ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Chemung Financial financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Chemung Financial's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Chemung Financial's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the
breakdown between Chemung Financial's total debt and its cash.
Chemung Financial Gross Profit
Chemung Financial Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Chemung Financial previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Chemung Financial Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Chemung Financial's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
Breaking it down
Chemung Financial Corp currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.56. However, we do advice investors to further question Chemung Financial Corp expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
Returns Breakdown
| Return on Assets | 0.007876 |
| Return on Equity | 0.0913 |
| Return Capital | 0.0109 |
| Return on Sales | 0.27 |
Over 3 percent surge for Chemung Financial. What does it mean for shareholders?
The jensen alpha is down to 0.56 as of today. Chemung Financial Corp currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.56. However, we do advice investors to further question Chemung Financial Corp expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
Our Final Takeaway
Although many other companies under the banks—regional industry are still a bit expensive, Chemung Financial may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. The bottom line, as of the 18th of October 2020, we believe Chemung Financial is currently
overvalued. It moves slightly opposite to the market and projects
low chance of financial distress in the next two years. Our latest 30 days 'Buy-Sell' recommendation on the firm is
Sell.
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Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Chemung Financial Corp. Please refer to our
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