Clean Stock Story

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CLNE
 Stock
  

USD 7.86  0.34  4.52%   

By Ellen Johnson
Macroaxis Story
Let's try to digest what's happening with Clean Energy amid unprecedented political, and economic uncertainty. Clean Energy Fuels is currently traded for 5.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.02. The firm is estimated to decline in value after the next press release, with the price expected to drop to 5.38. The average volatility of headline impact on the company stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.92%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.28 percent. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated announcement will be in about 8 days.
Published over two months ago
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Will Clean Energy (NASDAQ:CLNE) price continue depinning?

The company's average rating is Sell from 4 analysts.
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Clean Energy Fuels. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time.
The successful prediction of Clean Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Clean Energy Fuels, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Clean Energy based on Clean Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Clean Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Clean Energy's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Clean expected Price

Clean Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Overlap Analysis
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Forecast Models
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Price Shifting
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Volatility Indicators
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Value Movement
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A focus of Clean Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Clean Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How does Clean utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Clean Energy, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Clean Energy is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Clean Energy cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Clean Energy Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 41.3 Million

Breaking it down a bit more

Clean Energy Fuels reported the previous year's revenue of 255.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.04 M.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables146 M85.05 M76.54 M79.67 M
Inventories29.87 M28.1 M25.29 M26.69 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Clean Energy Deferred Revenue is decreasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Ongoing Deferred Revenue is projected to grow to about 7.6 M this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Clean Energy Deferred Revenue is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Deferred Revenue was at 7.25 Million
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
201510.55 Million
20167.04 Million
20173.43 Million
20187.36 Million
20197.34 Million
20202.64 Million
20217.25 Million
20227.64 Million

Will Clean Energy automatically start a reversion?

Latest total risk alpha is at -0.22. Clean Energy Fuels exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.78 and kurtosis of 3.14. However, we advise investors to further study Clean Energy Fuels technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Clean Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Clean Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Clean Energy Implied Volatility

Clean Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Clean Energy Fuels stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Clean Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Clean Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Clean Energy's options are near their expiration.

Our Final Take On Clean Energy

Although some other companies in the oil & gas refining & marketing industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Clean may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Clean valuation and our trade advice on Clean Energy is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Clean Energy.

Editorial Staff

Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Clean Energy Fuels. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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