Is Coupa Software (NASDAQ:COUP) ready for a correction?

As many millenniums are excited about technology space, it is only fair to recap Coupa Software Incorporated. We will evaluate why recent Coupa Software price moves suggest a bounce in October. Is the entity current valuation justified? We will cover the stock valuation to give you a better outlook on taking a position in the stock.
Published over a year ago
View all stories for Coupa Software | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Rifka Kats

The company currently holds 717.58 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.54, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Coupa Software Incor has a current ratio of 1.99, which is within standard range for the sector. On a scale of 0 to 100, Coupa Software holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0447, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Coupa's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Coupa Software returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coupa Software will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Coupa Software Incor historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Coupa Software Incor technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.42% will be sustainable into the future. Please makes use of Coupa Software Incor variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to make a quick decision on whether Coupa Software price patterns will revert.
We determine the current worth of Coupa Software using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Coupa Software based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Coupa Software's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Coupa Software's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Coupa Software. We calculate exposure to Coupa Software's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Coupa Software's related companies.

Coupa Software Investment Alerts

Coupa investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Coupa Software performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Coupa

Coupa Software Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Coupa value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Coupa Software competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Coupa.

Detailed Outlook On Coupa Software

The recent price roll up of Coupa Software Incor could raise concerns from insiders as the firm closed today at a share price of 270.69 on 2,198,304 in volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in October. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 3.26. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Coupa Software partners.

Margins Breakdown

Coupa profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Coupa Software itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Coupa Software profit margins.
Operating Margin(20.33)
EBITDA Margin(0.0982)
Gross Margin0.72
Profit Margin(0.25)
Coupa Software Revenue Per Employee is very stable at the moment. Further, Coupa Software Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is decreasing over the last 7 years. The recent value of Coupa Software Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is -38,363,053.

A growth case for Coupa Software

The variance is down to 10.5 as of today. Coupa Software Incorporated shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Coupa Software Incorporated further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Coupa Software future alpha.

Our Conclusion on Coupa Software

Although some firms in the software—application industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Coupa Software may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. To conclude, as of the 7th of September 2020, our analysis shows that Coupa Software barely shadows the market. The firm is overvalued and projects very low probability of distress for the next 2 years. Our overall 30 days advice on the firm is Hold.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Coupa Software. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com