Is Cerence (NASDAQ:CRNC) undervalued?

Cerence Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA were at 23.97 Million. The current year Average Equity is expected to grow to about 863 M, whereas Average Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.8 B. While some baby boomers are getting worried about technology space, it is reasonable to go over Cerence. Why are we still confident in hope for a quick recovery. In this post, I will also go over some essential variables affecting Cerence's products, and show how it may impact Cerence outlook for active traders this year.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Cerence holds a performance score of 16 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.9011, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Cerence's beta means in this case. Cerence returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cerence is expected to follow. Although it is vital to follow Cerence historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to look not only at its past charts but also at the business as a whole, including all fundamental and technical indicators. To evaluate if Cerence expected return of 1.07 will be sustainable into the future, we have found twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to check if the expected returns are sustainable. Use Cerence semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to analyze future returns on Cerence.
The performance of CerenceInc in the marketplace will significantly impact your decision to invest in its stock. Revenue growth, profitability, competitive positioning, management quality, and industry trends can influence CerenceInc's stock prices. When investing in CerenceInc, there are several factors to consider and potential outcomes to expect. As a company performs well, its stock price may increase, allowing investors to benefit from price appreciation. However, CerenceInc Stock can experience significant price fluctuations due to market conditions, economic factors, industry trends, or company-specific news. This is why investing in stocks such as CerenceInc carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Stock prices can decline, and investors may incur losses if they sell shares at a lower price than their initial investment.

How important is CerenceInc's Liquidity

CerenceInc financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance CerenceInc ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. CerenceInc financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to CerenceInc's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of CerenceInc's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between CerenceInc's total debt and its cash.

Breaking it down a bit more

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Cerence has an asset utilization ratio of 21.14 percent. This suggests that the company is making $0.21 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Cerence is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 2018 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share29.3523.6624.07
Asset Turnover0.210.230.24

A growth case for Cerence

Current value at risk is at -4.99. Cerence shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Cerence further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Cerence future alpha.

Whereas some firms in the software—application industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Cerence may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. To conclude, as of the 8th of February 2021, we see that Cerence almost mirrors the market. The company is overvalued with very low chance of financial distress within the next 24 months. However, our ongoing 30 days buy-hold-sell recommendation on the company is Strong Buy.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of CerenceInc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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