Is Catalent (NYSE:CTLT) gaining more confidence from private investors?

In general, we focus on analyzing Catalent (NYSE:CTLT) price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Catalent daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers. Today's article will review Catalent. We will look into a few reasons why it is still possible for the company to generate above-average margins and positive cash flow.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

This firm's average rating is Buy from 12 analysts. Macroaxis provides advice on Catalent to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Catalent. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 4.79 %, which can signify that it executes well on its competitive strategies and has good control over its expenditures. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 21.14 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.21.
The successful prediction of Catalent stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Catalent, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Catalent based on Catalent hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Catalent's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Catalent's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Catalent expected Price

Catalent technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Catalent technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Catalent trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Catalent Gross Profit

Catalent Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Catalent previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Catalent Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Catalent's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

An Additional Perspective On Catalent

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.87 B. Net Income was 104.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 805.1 M.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Catalent Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be comparatively stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue will likely drop to about 1.8 B in 2020. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Catalent Cost of Revenue is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Catalent reported Cost of Revenue of 1.97 Billion in 2019
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
20131.23 Billion
20141.22 Billion
20151.26 Billion
20161.42 Billion
20171.71 Billion
20181.71 Billion
20191.97 Billion
20201.81 Billion

Catalent has 77 percent chance to finish below $86 next week

Catalent newest mean deviation boosts over 1.71. Catalent currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.11. However, we do advice investors to further question Catalent expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.

Our Bottom Line On Catalent

Whereas some firms in the drug manufacturers—specialty & generic industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Catalent may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Catalent valuation and our trade advice on Catalent is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Catalent.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Catalent. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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