Contura Story

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CTRA -- USA Stock  

USD 7.58  0.25  3.41%

Today's article will go over Contura Energy. Why are we still confident in our hopes for a recovery. Contura Energy is currently traded for 8.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 13.09. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 1.29. The firm is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price going to jump to 8.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 87.09%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 8.72%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.42%. The volatility of related hype on Contura Energy is about 881.45% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.43 Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next forecasted press release will be in about 38 days.
Published over a month ago
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Is Contura Energy (NYSE:CTRA) gaining more confidence from investors?
The company's average rating is Hold from 2 analysts. We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Contura Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (25.57) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (5.43) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.05.
The successful prediction of Contura Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Contura Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Contura Energy based on Contura Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Contura Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Contura Energy's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Contura expected Price

Contura Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Contura Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Contura Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Contura utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Contura Energy, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Contura Energy is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Contura Energy cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Contura Energy Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 131.88 Million

Contura Energy exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Contura Energy insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Contura insider trading alert for general transaction of equity swaps (obligation to buy) by Davidson Kempner Partners, the corporate stakeholder, on 7th of September 2020. This event was filed by Contura Energy Inc with SEC on 2019-11-21. Initial filing of beneficial ownership - SEC Form 3 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Detailed Outlook On Contura Energy

Contura Energy reported the previous year's revenue of 1.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (513.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 373.76 M.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Contura Energy Cost of Revenue is increasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Ongoing Cost of Revenue is projected to grow to about 2 B this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Contura Energy Cost of Revenue is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cost of Revenue was at 1.92 Billion
2010
2018
2019
2020
20101.33 Billion
20181.66 Billion
20191.92 Billion
20201.96 Billion

Our take on today Contura Energy rise

Value At Risk just dropped to -9.2, may suggest upcoming price decrease. Contura Energy is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Contura Energy independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Contura Energy volatility.

Our Final Perspective on Contura Energy

Whereas some other entities under the thermal coal industry are still a bit expensive, Contura Energy may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. With a less-than optimistic outlook for your 30 days horizon, it may be a good time to trade some or all of your Contura Energy holdings as it seems the potential growth was already fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Contura Energy.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of Contura Energy. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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