Citi Trends Story

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CTRN -- USA Stock  

USD 23.87  1.09  4.78%

The predictive indicators we use to evaluate Citi Trends help investors to analyze its daily demand and supply, volume, patterns, and price swings to determine the real value of Citi Trends. We apply different methods to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citi Trends based on widely used predictive technical indicators. While this unique economic environment continues, Citi Trends may throw investors more surprises next month. We will evaluate why we are still confident in anticipation of a recovery.
Published over a month ago
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Thinking to buy more of Citi Trends (NASDAQ:CTRN)?
On a scale of 0 to 100, Citi Trends holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.3976, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Citi Trends's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Citi Trends will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Citi Trends historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Citi Trends, which you can use to evaluate the performance of the firm. Please makes use of Citi Trends value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price to make a quick decision on whether Citi Trends price patterns will revert.
The successful prediction of Citi Trends stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citi Trends, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citi Trends based on Citi Trends hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Citi Trends's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citi Trends's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Citi Trends expected Price

Citi Trends technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Citi Trends technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Citi Trends trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Citi Trends utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Citi Trends, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Citi Trends is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Citi Trends cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Citi Trends Net Cash Flow from Operations is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Net Cash Flow from Operations is estimated at 43.65 Million

Citi Trends exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Citi Trends insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Citi Trends insider trading alert for general transaction of common stock $0.01 par value by Duskin Jonathan, the corporate stakeholder, on 2nd of July 2020. This event was filed by Citi Trends Inc with SEC on 2020-07-02. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Breaking down Citi Trends Indicators

The latest price rise of Citi Trends could raise concerns from institutional investors as the firm closed today at a share price of 17.9 on 370,029 in volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in September. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 4.84. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not so good earnings reports for some of the Citi Trends partners.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Citi Trends Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be quite stable with very little volatility. The value of Cost of Revenue is projected to decrease to about 475.3 M. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Citi Trends Cost of Revenue is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Cost of Revenue is estimated at 475.35 Million
2010
2014
2020
2010394.44 Million
2014484.74 Million
2020475.35 Million

Our perspective of the latest Citi Trends slide

Citi Trends latest kurtosis surges over 10.79. As of the 19th of August, Citi Trends shows the Mean Deviation of 3.38, downside deviation of 3.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2698. Citi Trends technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Citi Trends, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Citi Trends variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Citi Trends is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 18.4 per share. Given that Citi Trends has jensen alpha of 0.5997, we suggest you to validate Citi Trends's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

The Current Takeaway on Citi Trends Investment

Whereas some other companies under the apparel retail industry are still a bit expensive, Citi Trends may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. With a less-than optimistic outlook for your 30 days horizon, it may be a good time to short some or all of your Citi Trends holdings as it seems the potential growth was already fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Citi Trends.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Citi Trends. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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