Citi Trends Story

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CTRN -- USA Stock  

USD 100.20  0.76  0.75%

With so much uncertainty about the consumer cyclical space, it is fair to outline Citi Trends against current market trends. Although we do see a rise in the economy, for short-term oriented investors. it may not be the right time to get in. The company returns are very sensitive to each other to returns on the market. As market twists, the company is expected to follow. Persistent basic indicators of the company may also entail signals of long-standing gains for Citi Trends institutional investors. Citi Trends is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 27th of May 2021.
Published over a month ago
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Will Citi Trends (NASDAQ:CTRN) price continue to rise in April?
This firm's average rating is Strong Buy from 1 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Citi Trends market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Citi Trends. Let us look at a few aspects of Citi Trends technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citi Trends. In general, we focus on analyzing Citi Trends stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Citi Trends's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Citi Trends's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Citi Trends, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Citi Trends price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citi Trends' stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Citi Trends in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Citi Trends. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Citi Trends' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Citi Trends' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Citi Trends.

How does Citi Trends Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Citi Trends competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Citi Trends across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Citi Trends Competition Details

How Citi Trends utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Citi Trends, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Citi Trends is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Citi Trends cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Citi Trends Net Cash Flow from Operations is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Net Cash Flow from Operations is estimated at 79.57 Million

Citi Trends exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Citi Trends insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Citi Trends insider trading alert for general transaction of common stock by Berkowitz Jessica, SVP Planning and Allocation, on 9th of April 2021. This event was filed by Citi Trends Inc with SEC on 2021-04-09. Initial filing of beneficial ownership - SEC Form 3 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Closer look at Citi Trends Semi Deviation

Citi Trends has current Semi Deviation of 1.73. Semi-deviation provides a good measure of downside risk for a equity or a portfolio. It is similar to standard deviation, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.

Semi-deviation is the square root of semi-variance. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.

Semi Deviation 
=  
SQRT(SV) 
 = 
1.73
SQRT = Square root notation
SV =   Citi Trends semi variance of returns over selected period
Let's now compare Citi Trends Semi Deviation to its closest peers:
CTRN
CHS
LB
AEO
EXPR
CTRN1.7295313802395458
CHS5.54
LB2.65
AEO1.52
EXPR10.14

Will Citi Trends growth be trustworthy after the rise?

The value at risk is down to -3.32 as of today. Citi Trends currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.35 and Jensen Alpha of 1.08. However, we advise investors to further question Citi Trends expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Citi Trends' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Citi Trends' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

The Current Takeaway on Citi Trends Investment

Whereas some other firms under the apparel retail industry are still a bit expensive, Citi Trends may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. With a less-than optimistic outlook for your 30 days horizon, it may be a good time to sell some or all of your Citi Trends holdings as it seems the potential growth was already fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Citi Trends.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Citi Trends. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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