Is Calavo Growers (NASDAQ:CVGW) low volatility a good sign for sophisticated investors?

Calavo Growers is currently generating 0.166% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.7521% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 60 days horizon. As many conservative investors are still indifferent towards latest market risk, it is prudent, from our point of view, to focus on Calavo Growers' current volatility. We will go over a few points Calavo Growers sophisticated investors should remember regarding its volatility. Calavo Growers' very low volatility may have no significant impact on the stock's value as we estimate Calavo Growers as currently overvalued. The real value, based on our calculations, is getting close to 70.06 per share.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Calavo Growers currently holds roughly 3.57 M in cash with 31.97 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Calavo Growers or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Calavo Growers may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Calavo's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Calavo Growers and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Calavo Growers fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Calavo Growers's Liquidity

Calavo Growers financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Calavo Growers ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Calavo Growers financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Calavo Growers' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Calavo Growers' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Calavo Growers's total debt and its cash.

Calavo Growers Gross Profit

Calavo Growers Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Calavo Growers previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Calavo Growers Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Calavo Growers' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Calavo Growers Volatility Drivers

Calavo Growers unsystematic risk is unique to Calavo Growers and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Calavo Growers you can also buy Pyxus International. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the consumer staples sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Calavo Growers important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Calavo Growers income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Calavo volatility.
0.420.710.940.860.050.95-0.51-0.16-0.480.050.050.39-0.060.28-0.040.260.29-0.180.13-0.450.270.61
0.420.880.450.7-0.570.21-0.57-0.85-0.71-0.68-0.68-0.45-0.130.16-0.110.58-0.51-0.690.34-0.680.78-0.15
0.710.880.740.82-0.510.56-0.7-0.58-0.6-0.44-0.44-0.13-0.180.23-0.170.44-0.13-0.60.26-0.610.580.17
0.940.450.740.81-0.20.91-0.55-0.1-0.40.020.020.36-0.020.070.00.380.29-0.370.24-0.440.190.53
0.860.70.820.81-0.060.74-0.68-0.49-0.67-0.39-0.39-0.05-0.140.17-0.120.37-0.07-0.380.06-0.530.670.45
0.05-0.57-0.51-0.2-0.060.090.170.360.230.380.380.320.110.30.11-0.550.240.72-0.490.31-0.060.5
0.950.210.560.910.740.09-0.380.06-0.380.220.220.49-0.150.15-0.130.130.48-0.08-0.03-0.380.030.6
-0.51-0.57-0.7-0.55-0.680.17-0.380.30.260.360.360.02-0.11-0.2-0.13-0.080.110.3-0.020.23-0.62-0.58
-0.16-0.85-0.58-0.1-0.490.360.060.30.750.760.760.61-0.1-0.15-0.11-0.540.820.49-0.350.63-0.770.37
-0.48-0.71-0.6-0.4-0.670.23-0.380.260.750.360.360.190.210.070.2-0.430.350.27-0.070.68-0.570.09
0.05-0.68-0.440.02-0.390.380.220.360.760.361.00.91-0.030.11-0.04-0.540.730.68-0.260.26-0.750.38
0.05-0.68-0.440.02-0.390.380.220.360.760.361.00.91-0.030.11-0.04-0.540.730.68-0.260.26-0.750.38
0.39-0.45-0.130.36-0.050.320.490.020.610.190.910.910.120.160.12-0.360.70.52-0.090.12-0.550.64
-0.06-0.13-0.18-0.02-0.140.11-0.15-0.11-0.10.21-0.03-0.030.120.071.00.18-0.420.040.570.12-0.050.14
0.280.160.230.070.170.30.15-0.2-0.150.070.110.110.160.070.08-0.250.00.260.0-0.20.240.32
-0.04-0.11-0.170.0-0.120.11-0.13-0.13-0.110.2-0.04-0.040.121.00.080.19-0.420.030.570.11-0.040.15
0.260.580.440.380.37-0.550.13-0.08-0.54-0.43-0.54-0.54-0.360.18-0.250.19-0.39-0.820.8-0.40.31-0.36
0.29-0.51-0.130.29-0.070.240.480.110.820.350.730.730.7-0.420.0-0.42-0.390.34-0.360.31-0.60.49
-0.18-0.69-0.6-0.37-0.380.72-0.080.30.490.270.680.680.520.040.260.03-0.820.34-0.550.46-0.380.37
0.130.340.260.240.06-0.49-0.03-0.02-0.35-0.07-0.26-0.26-0.090.570.00.570.8-0.36-0.55-0.120.05-0.24
-0.45-0.68-0.61-0.44-0.530.31-0.380.230.630.680.260.260.120.12-0.20.11-0.40.310.46-0.12-0.410.16
0.270.780.580.190.67-0.060.03-0.62-0.77-0.57-0.75-0.75-0.55-0.050.24-0.040.31-0.6-0.380.05-0.410.08
0.61-0.150.170.530.450.50.6-0.580.370.090.380.380.640.140.320.15-0.360.490.37-0.240.160.08
Click cells to compare fundamentals

What is driving Calavo Growers Investor Appetite?

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (14.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.08 M.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Share Based Compensation4.63 M3.59 M4.13 M4.46 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations48.43 M72.1 M82.91 M89.46 M

Another 3 percent fall for Calavo Growers

Latest skewness is at -0.16. As of the 20th of December, Calavo Growers shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0885, mean deviation of 1.37, and Downside Deviation of 2.02. Calavo Growers technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Calavo Growers, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Calavo Growers downside deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and expected short fall to decide if Calavo Growers is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 72.08 per share. Given that Calavo Growers has jensen alpha of 0.0109, we suggest you to validate Calavo Growers's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Takeaway on Calavo Growers Investment

While many of the other players in the packaged foods industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Calavo Growers may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. While some sophisticated investors may not share our view we believe that the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Calavo Growers.

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Editorial Staff

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