Commvault Story

CVLT -- USA Stock

USD 63.85 0.71 1.10%

Macroaxis Story

While some millenniums are indifferent towards technology space, it makes sense to review Commvault Systems in terms of its current potentials. As we have suggested previously, Commvault Systems is beginning its drop as private investors shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. The company returns are related to each other to returns on the market. As market swings up or down, the company is expected to follow. Stable basic indicators of the firm may also call for signals of mid-term gains for Commvault private investors. Commvault Systems is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 11th of May 2021.

Published over three weeks ago

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Will Commvault Systems (NASDAQ:CVLT) continue to drop in February?

The company's average rating is Buy from 6 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Commvault Systems market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Commvault. Let us look at a few aspects of Commvault technical analysis. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. Commvault Systems has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 556.84. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.66. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years.

Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Commvault Systems. In general, we focus on analyzing Commvault Systems stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Commvault Systems's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Commvault Systems's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Commvault Systems, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Commvault Systems price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commvault Systems' stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Commvault Systems in the context of predictive analytics.

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Commvault Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Commvault Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Commvault Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Commvault Systems.

How does Commvault Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Commvault Systems competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Commvault Systems across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.

Check out Commvault Systems Competition Details

How Commvault utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Commvault Systems, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Commvault Systems is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Commvault Systems cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

Commvault Systems Net Cash Flow from Operations is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Commvault Systems reported Net Cash Flow from Operations of 101.73 Million in 2020

Closer look at Commvault Systems Semi Deviation

Commvault Systems has current Semi Deviation of 1.46. Semi-deviation provides a good measure of downside risk for a equity or a portfolio. It is similar to standard deviation, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.

Semi-deviation is the square root of semi-variance. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.

Semi Deviation

SQRT(SV)

1.46

SQRT	=	Square root notation
SV	=	Commvault Systems semi variance of returns over selected period

Let's now compare Commvault Systems Semi Deviation to its closest peers:

CVLT

	CVLT	1.4637628790197552
	AI	4.33
	DT	3.37
	EB	2.79
	JG	5.36

Another small drop for Commvault Systems

Commvault Systems newest downside deviation boosts over 1.97. As of the 27th of January, Commvault Systems shows the Mean Deviation of 1.42, downside deviation of 1.97, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2721. Commvault Systems technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Commvault Systems, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Commvault Systems downside deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and expected short fall to decide if Commvault Systems is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 59.84 per share. Given that Commvault Systems has jensen alpha of 0.3529, we suggest you to validate Commvault Systems's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Final Perspective on Commvault Systems

Whereas some other companies under the software?application industry are still a bit expensive, Commvault Systems may offer a potential longer-term growth to private investors. To conclude, as of the 27th of January 2021, we believe that at this point, Commvault Systems is very steady with very small probability of bankruptcy within the next 2 years. From a slightly different point of view, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Our up-to-date 30 days advice on the firm is Strong Buy.

About Contributor

Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Commvault Systems. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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Commvault Story

USD 63.85 0.71 1.10%

How does Commvault Stands against Peers?

How Commvault utilizes its cash?

Closer look at Commvault Systems Semi Deviation

Another small drop for Commvault Systems

Our Final Perspective on Commvault Systems

About Contributor

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

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