Does Dillards (NYSE:DDS) have invariable fundamental indicators based on the latest spike?

Dillards is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 11th of November 2021. The stock is currently experiencing an unusual volatility. As some conservatives are trying to avoid consumer cyclical space, we'll sum up Dillards a little further and explain its current market possibilities. We will analyze why Dillards investors may still consider a stake in the business. Will retail investors continue to hold, or should we expect a sell-off?
Published over a year ago
View all stories for Dillards | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

Dillards is OVERVALUED at 147.04 per share with modest projections ahead.
Dillards appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Dillards secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the company had 0.16% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards predicting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By reviewing Dillards technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.68% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Dillards' Coefficient Of Variation of 522.16, downside deviation of 3.5, and Mean Deviation of 3.33 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Typically, a company's financial statements are the reports that show the financial position of the company. There are three main documents that fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Dillards income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows. Potential Dillards investors and stakeholders use financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned to perform in the future. Although Dillards investors may use each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Dillards's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Dillards's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet, but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The goal of Dillards fundamental analysis is to do accurate financial forecasts. There are several possible objectives to fundamental analysis, such as projecting of Dillards performance into the future periods or doing a reasonable stock valuation. The intrinsic value of Dillards shares is the value that is considered the true value of the share. If the intrinsic value of Dillards is higher than its market price, buying is generally recommended. If it is equal to the market price, it is recommended to hold; and if it is less than the market price, then one should sell all shares Dillards. Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

How effective is Dillards in utilizing its assets?

Dillards reports assets on its Balance Sheet. It represents the amount of Dillards resources that either has an existing economic value or will provide some form of benefits in the future. By effectively utilizing its assets, Dillards aims to generate revenue, control costs, drive operational efficiency, and enhance profitability. Optimizing asset utilization helps maximize shareholder value and maintain a competitive position in the Department Stores space. To get a better handle on how balance sheet or income statements item affect Dillards volatility, please check the breakdown of all its fundamentals.

Are Dillards Earnings Expected to grow?

The future earnings power of Dillards involves the interaction of many company-specific, industry, and economic forces. Earnings estimates embody investors' opinions of Dillards factors such as sales growth, product demand, competitive industry environment, profit margins, and cost controls. Dillards stock prices adjust as these expectations change or are proven wrong. The main thing to remember is that equities with high expected earnings growth tend to underperform the market because it is usually difficult to meet the market's high expectations. Companies with low earnings expectations tend to do better than expected. Please use our latest analysis of Dillards expected earnings.

And What about dividends?

A dividend is the distribution of a portion of Dillards earnings, decided and managed by the company's board of directors and paid to a class of its shareholders. Note, announcements of dividend payouts are generally accompanied by a proportional increase or decrease in a company's stock price. Dillards dividend payments follow a chronological order of events, and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment. Dillards one year expected dividend income is about USD12.23 per share.
Dividends Paid is likely to gain to about 355.6 M in 2024, whereas Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0 in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid338.6 M355.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.46  0.03 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 4.30 (4.32)
Investing in dividend-paying stocks, such as Dillards is one of the few strategies that are good for long-term investment. Ex-dividend dates are significant because investors in Dillards must own a stock before its ex-dividend date to receive its next dividend.
This type of analysis is very useful when you want to generate a past dividend schedule and payout information for Dillards. Then that information in the form of graph and calendar can be used to fully explain how Du Pont dividends can provide a real clue to its valuation.

Dillards Gross Profit

Dillards Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Dillards previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Dillards Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Dillards' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is Dillards valued wisely by the market?

Although in the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission has enforced strong rules to prevent insiders from engaging in insider trading, finding insiders among active shareholders of Dillards is not uncomon. Institutional investor usually refers to an organization that invests money in Dillards on behalf of clients or other money managers. Buying and selling of large positions of Dillards stock by institutional investors can create supply and demand imbalances that result in sudden price moves of Dillards stock. Let's take a look at how the ownership of Dillards is distributed among investors.

Ownership Allocation

Dillards holds a total of seventeen million one hundred fourty thousand outstanding shares. The majority of Dillards outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Dillards to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Dillards. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Dillards as this could imply that something significant has changed or about to change at the company. Also note that almost eight hundred fifty-seven thousand invesors are currently shorting Dillards expressing very little confidence in its future performance.
Insiders
30.04%
Institutions
75.24%
Retail Investors-5.28
Insiders30.04
Institutions75.24

Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Dillards has an asset utilization ratio of 128.57 percent. This connotes that the company is making $1.29 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Dillards is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Current Assets
1.9 B
Assets Non Current
B
Current Assets1.87 Billion47.31
Assets Non Current1.95 Billion49.47
Tax Assets126.96 Million3.21

Will price continue to spike in September 2021?

The expected short fall is down to -3.91 as of today. Dillards shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Dillards further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Dillards future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dillards' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dillards' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Final Takeaway

While other companies under the department stores industry are still a bit expensive, Dillards may offer a potential longer-term growth to retail investors. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Dillards valuation and our trade advice on Dillards is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Dillards.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Dillards. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com