Graftech Story

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EAF -- USA Stock  

USD 12.09  0.66  5.18%

As many millenniums are trying to avoid industrials space, it makes sense to digest GrafTech International a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. As expected, GrafTech International is starting to reaffirm its true potential as shareholders are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. A lot of the trends of the company stock price movements has been a demonstration of what is happening in the market overall. The appearance of sound basic indicators of the firm indicates a shorter-term price swing for shareholders of GrafTech. GrafTech International is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 5th of May 2021.
Published over two weeks ago
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Will GrafTech International (NYSE:EAF) price continue to surge in March?
This firm's average rating is Buy from 2 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on GrafTech International market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of GrafTech. Let us look at a few aspects of GrafTech technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graftech International. In general, we focus on analyzing Graftech International stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Graftech International's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Graftech International's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Graftech International, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Graftech International price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Graftech International's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Graftech International in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Graftech International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Graftech International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Graftech International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Graftech International.

How does Graftech Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Graftech International competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Graftech International across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Graftech International Competition Details

How Graftech utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Graftech International, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Graftech International is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Graftech International cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Graftech International Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 926.11 Million

Closer look at GrafTech International Downside Variance

GrafTech International has current Downside Variance of 14.6. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.

Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.

Downside Variance 
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period
Let's now compare GrafTech International Downside Variance to its closest peers:

Our perspective of the latest GrafTech International surge

Latest jensen alpha is at 0.25. GrafTech International shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect GrafTech International further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of GrafTech International future alpha.

Our Takeaway on GrafTech International Investment

Although some companies under the electrical equipment & parts industry are still a bit expensive, GrafTech International may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. While some shareholders may not share our view we believe that the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to GrafTech International.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Graftech International. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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