Is GrafTech International well-positioned for March economic uncertainties?

While some baby boomers are getting worried about electrical equipment space, it is reasonable to digest GrafTech International. We will evaluate why recent GrafTech International price moves suggest a bounce in March. Is GrafTech International valuation justified? Here I will cover 2023 perspective on the current valuation of the entity to give you a better outlook on taking a possible position in this stock.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

This firm has 1.03 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.74, demonstrating that the firm may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. GrafTech International is UNDERVALUED at 8.45 per share with modest projections ahead.
We determine the current worth of GrafTech International using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of GrafTech International based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing GrafTech International's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of GrafTech International's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of GrafTech International. We calculate exposure to GrafTech International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GrafTech International's related companies.

Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring GrafTech International on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. GrafTech International is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as GrafTech International stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If GrafTech International stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

GrafTech International Investment Alerts

GrafTech investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring GrafTech International performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for GrafTech

GrafTech International Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare GrafTech value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across GrafTech International competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of GrafTech.

GrafTech International Gross Profit

GrafTech International Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing GrafTech International previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show GrafTech International Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check GrafTech International's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Breaking down GrafTech International Indicators

The latest price surge of GrafTech International could raise concerns from shareholders as the firm is trading at a share price of 6.59 on 2,097,795 in volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in March. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 5.09. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the GrafTech International partners.

Margins Breakdown

GrafTech profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or GrafTech International itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of GrafTech International profit margins.
28.02
Profit Margin
36.66
Operating Margin
41.8
EBITDA Margin
Operating Margin36.66
EBITDA Margin41.8
Gross Margin46.5
Profit Margin28.02
GrafTech International Average Assets is rather stable at the moment. Moreover, GrafTech International Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is increasing over the last 8 years. The latest value of GrafTech International Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is 562,524,963.

GrafTech is expecting lower volatility in March

Latest maximum drawdown is at 37.94. GrafTech International shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect GrafTech International further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of GrafTech International future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GrafTech International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GrafTech International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

The Current Takeaway on GrafTech International Investment

Although some other companies under the electrical equipment & parts industry are still a bit expensive, GrafTech International may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. To conclude, as of the 2nd of February 2023, we believe that GrafTech International is currently undervalued with above average chance of bankruptcy in the next two years. Our up-to-date 90 days buy-hold-sell advice on the firm is Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of GrafTech International. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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