Thinking to buy more of Brinker International (NYSE:EAT)?

A current spike in volatility has left many private investors looking confused. In this story, we will review Brinker International. We will evaluate if Brinker International shares are reasonably priced going into September. On the 24th of August the company is traded for 30.34. Brinker International has historical hype elasticity of 0.13. The entity is forecasted to decline in value after the next press release, with the price expected to drop to 30.18. The average volatility of headline impact on Brinker International stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13 percent. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted announcement will be in about 7 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Brinker International has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.0369, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Brinker's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Brinker International will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Brinker International historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Brinker International technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.13% will be sustainable into the future. Brinker International right now shows a risk of 3.69%. Please confirm Brinker International potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis to decide if Brinker International will be following its price patterns.
The successful prediction of Brinker International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brinker International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brinker International based on Brinker International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Brinker International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brinker International's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Brinker expected Price

Brinker International technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Brinker International technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Brinker International trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Brinker International Gross Profit

Brinker International Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Brinker International previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Brinker International Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Brinker International's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Breaking down Brinker International Indicators

The modest gains experienced by current holders of Brinker International could raise concerns from private investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 30.34 on 1,112,400 in volume. The company management teams have been quite successful in maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in July. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.69. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Brinker International partners.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Brinker International Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be comparatively stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue will likely drop to about 3.2 B in 2022. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Brinker International Cost of Revenue is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Brinker International reported Cost of Revenue of 3.26 Billion in 2021
2010
2015
2020
2021
2022
20102.41 Billion
20152.67 Billion
20202.83 Billion
20213.26 Billion
20223.19 Billion

Our take on today Brinker International gain

Newest Market Risk Adjusted Performance is up to 0.09. Price may drop again. Brinker International shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Brinker International further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Brinker International future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Brinker International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Brinker International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Bottom Line On Brinker International

Whereas many other companies within the restaurants industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Brinker International may offer a potential longer-term growth to private investors. On the whole, as of the 24th of August 2022, we believe that at this point, Brinker International is undervalued with low probability of bankruptcy within the next 2 years. Our ongoing buy-hold-sell recommendation on the firm is Cautious Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Brinker International. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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