Ecolab Story

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#FF6600;color: #FFFAFA;font-size:3em;'>ECL</div>
ECL -- USA Stock  

USD 196.03  1.42  0.73%

Today we will summarize Ecolab. I will address few reasons this entity was abused by stakeholders due to the current market volatility. On the 28th of July the company is traded for 212.04. Ecolab Inc has historical hype elasticity of -0.46. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.07. The entity is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 209.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on Ecolab stock price is about 64.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14 percent. The volatility of related hype on Ecolab is about 429.75% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 211.97 Considering the 30-days investment horizon, the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Published over two months ago
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Will Ecolab (NYSE:ECL) continue to hike?
Ecolab has performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.9685, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Ecolab's beta means in this case. Ecolab returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ecolab is expected to follow. Although it is extremely important to respect Ecolab Inc historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing Ecolab Inc technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.14% will be sustainable into the future. Ecolab Inc right now shows a risk of 2.08%. Please confirm Ecolab Inc sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change to decide if Ecolab Inc will be following its price patterns.
The successful prediction of Ecolab stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ecolab Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ecolab based on Ecolab hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Ecolab's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ecolab's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Ecolab expected Price

Ecolab technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ecolab technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ecolab trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions. It is good to see analyst projects for Ecolab, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Breaking down Ecolab Indicators

The modest gains experienced by current holders of Ecolab could raise concerns from stakeholders as the firm closed today at a share price of 208.57 on 878,585 in volume. The company executives have been quite successful in maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in June. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 2.08. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in June 2020 as well as with Ecolab unsystematic, company-specific events.
 2018 2019 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.790.69
Interest Coverage8.7610.53

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Ecolab Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. The value of Cost of Revenue is projected to decrease to about 8.2 B. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Ecolab Cost of Revenue is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Cost of Revenue is estimated at 8.25 Billion
2011
2012
2014
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
20113.48 Billion
20127.16 Billion
20147.22 Billion
20167.53 Billion
20178.06 Billion
20188.63 Billion
20198.72 Billion
20208.25 Billion

Ecolab has a small chance to finish above $216 in 2 months

New downside variance is at 6.84. Ecolab Inc currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.15. However, we do advice investors to further question Ecolab Inc expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.

Our Final Perspective on Ecolab

While few other entities under the specialty chemicals industry are still a bit expensive, Ecolab may offer a potential longer-term growth to stakeholders. With a less-than optimistic outlook for your 30 days horizon, it may be a good time to drop some or all of your Ecolab holdings as it seems the potential growth was already fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Ecolab.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Ecolab Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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