Are insiders obtaining Evolution Petroleum?

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Ellen Johnson .  Story
EPM Stock  USD 5.84  0.07  1.21%   
Ellen Johnson
By Ellen Johnson
Macroaxis Story
Today's article will recap Evolution Petroleum. What exactly are Evolution Petroleum shareholders getting in March? On the 7th of February the company is traded for 6.02. Evolution Petroleum has historical hype elasticity of 0.01. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.13. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Evolution Petroleum is about 572.93%. The volatility of related hype on Evolution Petroleum is about 572.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.15 Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Published over a month ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.4317, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Evolution's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Evolution Petroleum will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Evolution Petroleum historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards predicting any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Evolution Petroleum exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Evolution Petroleum has an expected return of -0.29%. Please be advised to confirm Evolution Petroleum coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Evolution Petroleum performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
The successful prediction of Evolution Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Evolution Petroleum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Evolution Petroleum based on Evolution Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Evolution Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Evolution Petroleum's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Evolution expected Price

Evolution Petroleum technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Overlap Analysis
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Forecast Models
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Price Shifting
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Volatility Indicators
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Value Movement
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A focus of Evolution Petroleum technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Evolution Petroleum trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How does Evolution utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Evolution Petroleum, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Evolution Petroleum is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Evolution Petroleum cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Evolution Petroleum Net Cash Flow from Operations is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Evolution Petroleum reported last year Net Cash Flow from Operations of 60.33 Million

Going after Evolution Financials

The recent Evolution Petroleum price decline could raise concerns from insiders as the firm is trading at a share price of 6.02 on very low momentum in volume. The company executives were unable to exploit market volatilities in January. However, diversifying your overall positions with Evolution Petroleum can protect your principal portfolio during market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 2.57. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in January 2023 as well as with Evolution Petroleum unsystematic, company-specific events.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.250.21
Interest Coverage85.6287.87

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Evolution Petroleum Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be very stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue is likely to grow to about 60.4 M this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Evolution Petroleum Cost of Revenue is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Evolution Petroleum reported last year Cost of Revenue of 55.96 Million
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
201610.84 Million
201711.69 Million
201814.27 Million
201913.51 Million
202016.59 Million
202148.66 Million
202255.96 Million
202360.37 Million

Evolution Petroleum has 99 percent chance to finish above USD5.9 in March

The jensen alpha is down to -0.42 as of today.
As of the 7th of February, Evolution Petroleum shows the mean deviation of 2.06, and Coefficient Of Variation of (836.78). Evolution Petroleum technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Evolution Petroleum, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Evolution Petroleum coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Evolution Petroleum is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 6.02 per share. Given that Evolution Petroleum has jensen alpha of (0.42), we urge you to verify Evolution Petroleum's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Final Take On Evolution Petroleum

Although other companies in the oil & gas e&p industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Evolution may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. Taking everything into account, as of the 7th of February 2023, our latest 90 days buy-hold-sell recommendation on the firm is Strong Hold. We believe Evolution Petroleum is overvalued with low odds of financial turmoil for the next two years.

Editorial Staff

Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Evolution Petroleum. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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