Fuelcell Stock Story

FCEL
 Stock
  

USD 4.47  0.32  7.71%   

Fuelcell Energy is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.7333% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 60 days horizon. As many adventurous traders are excited about industrials space, it is only fair to summarize the risk of shorting Fuelcell Energy based on its current volatility spike. We will summarize if the expected returns on Fuelcell Energy will justify its current volatility. Fuelcell Energy high volatility, while potentially profitable, can lead to more considerable losses for your portfolios.
Published over a month ago
View all stories for Fuelcell Energy | View All Stories

Fuelcell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL) high volatility trend continues

The company currently holds 99.85 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.15, which may suggest the firm is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Fuelcell Energy has a current ratio of 6.62, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Fuelcell Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fuelcell Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fuelcell Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fuelcell to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fuelcell Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.4876, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Fuelcell's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fuelcell Energy will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Fuelcell Energy historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards predicting any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Fuelcell Energy exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Fuelcell Energy has an expected return of -0.64%. Please be advised to confirm Fuelcell Energy treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and downside variance to decide if Fuelcell Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Fuelcell Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Fuelcell Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Fuelcell's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Fuelcell Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Fuelcell Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Fuelcell Energy's Liquidity

Fuelcell Energy financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Fuelcell Energy ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Fuelcell Energy financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Fuelcell Energy's total debt and its cash.

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for Fuelcell Energy, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Fuelcell Energy Volatility Drivers

Fuelcell Energy unsystematic risk is unique to Fuelcell Energy and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Fuelcell Energy you can also buy Plug Power. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the electrical equipment & parts sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Fuelcell Energy important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Fuelcell Energy income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Fuelcell volatility.
-0.06-0.05-0.140.010.4-0.35-0.090.110.040.250.130.170.040.350.050.170.20.370.05-0.23-0.09-0.080.470.09-0.54-0.220.190.220.190.02-0.01-0.13-0.020.26-0.12-0.030.190.15-0.120.330.2-0.130.1-0.120.37-0.050.2-0.090.260.15-0.050.17-0.05-0.11-0.180.020.02-0.11-0.06-0.07
-0.060.960.970.540.23-0.50.99-0.820.44-0.63-0.28-0.85-0.58-0.560.43-0.85-0.770.72-0.690.970.01-0.860.71-0.40.29-0.41-0.840.680.62-0.74-0.740.96-0.75-0.270.980.15-0.840.650.61-0.59-0.730.35-0.870.970.26-0.27-0.84-0.68-0.83-0.11.0-0.850.980.97-0.850.880.780.961.00.97
-0.050.960.990.330.01-0.340.98-0.830.27-0.52-0.08-0.72-0.38-0.430.19-0.72-0.610.67-0.540.930.13-0.750.71-0.190.29-0.2-0.770.620.45-0.56-0.550.98-0.57-0.190.990.05-0.690.50.46-0.45-0.550.3-0.950.980.34-0.16-0.7-0.48-0.690.020.95-0.710.980.99-0.820.730.610.990.971.0
-0.140.970.990.370.02-0.340.99-0.830.3-0.55-0.16-0.77-0.43-0.510.24-0.77-0.670.64-0.590.960.1-0.780.66-0.260.34-0.22-0.820.580.47-0.6-0.590.99-0.6-0.270.990.06-0.750.50.51-0.52-0.610.31-0.940.990.26-0.16-0.76-0.51-0.74-0.050.96-0.770.980.99-0.810.760.640.990.980.99
0.010.540.330.370.73-0.670.43-0.260.94-0.59-0.57-0.77-0.75-0.510.95-0.77-0.750.32-0.530.56-0.15-0.660.22-0.620.29-0.73-0.450.560.84-0.78-0.830.35-0.8-0.320.390.16-0.710.740.69-0.52-0.760.09-0.150.340.03-0.32-0.73-0.81-0.74-0.220.55-0.770.390.35-0.450.840.890.310.520.37
0.40.230.010.020.73-0.620.12-0.060.71-0.17-0.61-0.46-0.69-0.350.84-0.46-0.510.26-0.420.2-0.3-0.390.26-0.64-0.07-0.73-0.260.350.62-0.63-0.69-0.01-0.65-0.280.030.25-0.450.570.52-0.35-0.550.10.170.04-0.09-0.32-0.47-0.7-0.48-0.250.25-0.470.120.05-0.260.570.670.00.220.03
-0.35-0.5-0.34-0.34-0.67-0.62-0.450.28-0.430.70.580.530.80.28-0.630.540.53-0.720.57-0.380.350.79-0.660.660.390.930.42-0.71-0.710.80.76-0.340.86-0.17-0.41-0.540.54-0.72-0.360.270.54-0.450.15-0.33-0.310.640.530.890.440.43-0.550.55-0.48-0.320.64-0.76-0.76-0.3-0.5-0.39
-0.090.990.980.990.430.12-0.45-0.820.32-0.63-0.23-0.81-0.52-0.530.31-0.81-0.720.72-0.660.960.05-0.840.73-0.340.26-0.34-0.830.660.54-0.68-0.680.98-0.7-0.220.990.16-0.80.60.55-0.56-0.680.39-0.910.990.28-0.27-0.8-0.62-0.78-0.090.99-0.811.00.99-0.860.820.710.980.990.99
0.11-0.82-0.83-0.83-0.26-0.060.28-0.82-0.260.410.050.540.350.41-0.180.540.5-0.650.48-0.78-0.040.58-0.60.17-0.30.090.72-0.43-0.360.460.46-0.740.470.24-0.83-0.050.56-0.38-0.40.420.46-0.250.69-0.83-0.110.120.560.390.62-0.06-0.820.54-0.83-0.830.59-0.63-0.49-0.83-0.82-0.82
0.040.440.270.30.940.71-0.430.32-0.26-0.31-0.42-0.67-0.56-0.460.89-0.67-0.650.14-0.40.49-0.01-0.460.08-0.470.46-0.5-0.390.360.72-0.61-0.660.25-0.6-0.450.29-0.09-0.590.570.66-0.46-0.65-0.14-0.080.27-0.09-0.06-0.62-0.6-0.68-0.070.44-0.670.280.28-0.30.710.740.230.430.28
0.25-0.63-0.52-0.55-0.59-0.170.7-0.630.41-0.310.350.640.640.34-0.490.640.61-0.590.51-0.60.180.76-0.390.42-0.050.650.42-0.76-0.660.680.76-0.560.79-0.19-0.62-0.580.66-0.79-0.380.430.63-0.60.46-0.53-0.360.70.660.80.570.18-0.670.65-0.62-0.530.64-0.76-0.73-0.52-0.63-0.59
0.13-0.28-0.08-0.16-0.57-0.610.58-0.230.05-0.420.350.60.880.71-0.630.60.67-0.190.67-0.310.360.53-0.240.980.10.770.6-0.1-0.330.810.61-0.180.710.4-0.16-0.350.61-0.25-0.490.580.67-0.29-0.08-0.180.440.270.610.660.590.87-0.30.62-0.23-0.150.29-0.51-0.63-0.12-0.28-0.12
0.17-0.85-0.72-0.77-0.77-0.460.53-0.810.54-0.670.640.60.770.81-0.71.00.97-0.50.82-0.89-0.030.83-0.480.67-0.40.590.83-0.52-0.680.890.87-0.770.860.44-0.77-0.180.98-0.66-0.750.830.95-0.290.62-0.770.070.280.990.790.970.33-0.851.0-0.78-0.780.74-0.91-0.9-0.75-0.85-0.75
0.04-0.58-0.38-0.43-0.75-0.690.8-0.520.35-0.560.640.880.770.7-0.760.780.8-0.490.76-0.570.350.78-0.460.910.00.890.69-0.46-0.610.940.87-0.430.930.3-0.46-0.530.79-0.62-0.560.640.82-0.490.19-0.450.120.540.790.910.760.64-0.610.79-0.52-0.430.59-0.81-0.86-0.4-0.58-0.42
0.35-0.56-0.43-0.51-0.51-0.350.28-0.530.41-0.460.340.710.810.7-0.470.810.88-0.30.89-0.63-0.030.58-0.270.76-0.370.410.820.01-0.360.740.61-0.490.630.68-0.48-0.030.86-0.26-0.660.960.87-0.10.32-0.540.560.010.840.530.850.6-0.560.81-0.52-0.520.42-0.59-0.6-0.5-0.56-0.44
0.050.430.190.240.950.84-0.630.31-0.180.89-0.49-0.63-0.7-0.76-0.47-0.7-0.730.23-0.470.46-0.26-0.550.15-0.670.23-0.74-0.390.50.78-0.76-0.840.21-0.78-0.30.250.26-0.660.710.68-0.49-0.740.17-0.030.22-0.07-0.38-0.68-0.81-0.7-0.220.45-0.710.280.24-0.340.770.860.190.410.23
0.17-0.85-0.72-0.77-0.77-0.460.54-0.810.54-0.670.640.61.00.780.81-0.70.97-0.50.82-0.89-0.020.83-0.480.68-0.390.590.83-0.53-0.680.890.88-0.770.860.44-0.77-0.190.98-0.66-0.750.830.95-0.30.62-0.770.070.290.990.80.970.34-0.851.0-0.78-0.770.74-0.91-0.9-0.74-0.85-0.74
0.2-0.77-0.61-0.67-0.75-0.510.53-0.720.5-0.650.610.670.970.80.88-0.730.97-0.50.89-0.810.080.8-0.420.75-0.340.610.83-0.43-0.690.90.88-0.670.860.49-0.67-0.180.98-0.63-0.810.90.99-0.250.5-0.690.220.260.980.80.970.41-0.780.98-0.7-0.690.64-0.87-0.87-0.66-0.77-0.64
0.370.720.670.640.320.26-0.720.72-0.650.14-0.59-0.19-0.5-0.49-0.30.23-0.5-0.5-0.660.56-0.19-0.810.91-0.35-0.33-0.53-0.580.670.63-0.61-0.610.62-0.670.090.70.23-0.560.620.42-0.37-0.490.29-0.570.670.37-0.36-0.54-0.66-0.46-0.160.76-0.510.770.67-0.720.680.590.670.720.69
0.05-0.69-0.54-0.59-0.53-0.420.57-0.660.48-0.40.510.670.820.760.89-0.470.820.89-0.66-0.660.10.8-0.590.76-0.040.60.84-0.28-0.580.840.74-0.590.790.45-0.61-0.150.89-0.47-0.680.890.88-0.190.43-0.640.280.190.870.720.810.57-0.710.83-0.68-0.620.62-0.73-0.7-0.6-0.68-0.57
-0.230.970.930.960.560.2-0.380.96-0.780.49-0.6-0.31-0.89-0.57-0.630.46-0.89-0.810.56-0.660.07-0.790.56-0.40.46-0.34-0.840.590.57-0.72-0.730.94-0.71-0.380.950.11-0.860.60.65-0.65-0.770.32-0.860.950.15-0.22-0.88-0.63-0.88-0.10.96-0.890.940.96-0.780.850.780.940.970.94
-0.090.010.130.1-0.15-0.30.350.05-0.04-0.010.180.36-0.030.35-0.03-0.26-0.020.08-0.190.10.070.3-0.050.350.40.360.1-0.13-0.320.230.250.110.250.170.08-0.150.0-0.16-0.3-0.110.07-0.05-0.180.07-0.020.120.010.29-0.030.35-0.040.010.010.08-0.21-0.14-0.190.090.010.11
-0.08-0.86-0.75-0.78-0.66-0.390.79-0.840.58-0.460.760.530.830.780.58-0.550.830.8-0.810.8-0.790.3-0.730.630.030.720.79-0.7-0.780.870.84-0.780.90.22-0.81-0.270.83-0.72-0.650.580.77-0.340.62-0.78-0.240.390.830.850.740.4-0.890.84-0.85-0.770.79-0.91-0.85-0.76-0.86-0.79
0.470.710.710.660.220.26-0.660.73-0.60.08-0.39-0.24-0.48-0.46-0.270.15-0.48-0.420.91-0.590.56-0.05-0.73-0.36-0.38-0.5-0.620.610.45-0.59-0.50.67-0.60.090.70.19-0.50.450.33-0.27-0.390.3-0.610.690.36-0.26-0.48-0.56-0.41-0.230.72-0.480.770.68-0.780.610.540.680.720.71
0.09-0.4-0.19-0.26-0.62-0.640.66-0.340.17-0.470.420.980.670.910.76-0.670.680.75-0.350.76-0.40.350.63-0.360.120.810.69-0.2-0.450.880.69-0.270.790.39-0.27-0.320.7-0.34-0.60.650.74-0.270.02-0.280.40.270.690.740.670.84-0.420.69-0.34-0.260.37-0.62-0.72-0.23-0.4-0.23
-0.540.290.290.340.29-0.070.390.26-0.30.46-0.050.1-0.40.0-0.370.23-0.39-0.34-0.33-0.040.460.40.03-0.380.120.32-0.19-0.10.06-0.01-0.150.29-0.01-0.530.28-0.2-0.350.110.22-0.4-0.34-0.09-0.310.31-0.210.15-0.380.05-0.470.320.25-0.380.190.33-0.070.20.180.320.280.27
-0.22-0.41-0.2-0.22-0.73-0.730.93-0.340.09-0.50.650.770.590.890.41-0.740.590.61-0.530.6-0.340.360.72-0.50.810.320.42-0.6-0.670.850.8-0.250.88-0.03-0.28-0.560.6-0.69-0.440.390.64-0.440.03-0.23-0.120.620.60.910.510.57-0.440.61-0.36-0.210.55-0.72-0.8-0.18-0.4-0.26
0.19-0.84-0.77-0.82-0.45-0.260.42-0.830.72-0.390.420.60.830.690.82-0.390.830.83-0.580.84-0.840.10.79-0.620.69-0.190.42-0.3-0.430.810.64-0.80.70.54-0.8-0.020.84-0.32-0.690.740.77-0.20.64-0.840.230.020.830.580.850.53-0.830.84-0.83-0.820.63-0.74-0.69-0.81-0.85-0.77
0.220.680.620.580.560.35-0.710.66-0.430.36-0.76-0.1-0.52-0.460.010.5-0.53-0.430.67-0.280.59-0.13-0.70.61-0.2-0.1-0.6-0.30.73-0.57-0.720.6-0.70.330.640.44-0.490.870.37-0.11-0.430.5-0.560.560.72-0.64-0.51-0.75-0.440.160.71-0.530.660.58-0.720.770.730.560.670.66
0.190.620.450.470.840.62-0.710.54-0.360.72-0.66-0.33-0.68-0.61-0.360.78-0.68-0.690.63-0.580.57-0.32-0.780.45-0.450.06-0.67-0.430.73-0.7-0.850.45-0.79-0.190.50.09-0.680.870.77-0.46-0.710.04-0.340.470.3-0.31-0.69-0.82-0.64-0.050.66-0.70.550.48-0.490.850.840.440.610.5
0.02-0.74-0.56-0.6-0.78-0.630.8-0.680.46-0.610.680.810.890.940.74-0.760.890.9-0.610.84-0.720.230.87-0.590.88-0.010.850.81-0.57-0.70.9-0.610.960.28-0.63-0.360.89-0.66-0.710.710.89-0.390.38-0.610.080.420.890.920.860.58-0.760.9-0.68-0.60.69-0.9-0.93-0.57-0.74-0.6
-0.01-0.74-0.55-0.59-0.83-0.690.76-0.680.46-0.660.760.610.870.870.61-0.840.880.88-0.610.74-0.730.250.84-0.50.69-0.150.80.64-0.72-0.850.9-0.580.960.23-0.62-0.440.89-0.89-0.720.680.91-0.450.43-0.6-0.120.580.890.970.850.26-0.780.88-0.67-0.610.69-0.94-0.96-0.57-0.74-0.6
-0.130.960.980.990.35-0.01-0.340.98-0.740.25-0.56-0.18-0.77-0.43-0.490.21-0.77-0.670.62-0.590.940.11-0.780.67-0.270.29-0.25-0.80.60.45-0.61-0.58-0.6-0.230.980.08-0.740.490.49-0.51-0.60.33-0.950.980.3-0.17-0.75-0.51-0.72-0.090.94-0.770.970.98-0.830.730.630.980.960.98
-0.02-0.75-0.57-0.6-0.8-0.650.86-0.70.47-0.60.790.710.860.930.63-0.780.860.86-0.670.79-0.710.250.9-0.60.79-0.010.880.7-0.7-0.790.960.96-0.60.17-0.64-0.490.87-0.82-0.640.650.87-0.490.4-0.61-0.110.590.870.990.820.44-0.780.87-0.7-0.60.75-0.94-0.95-0.57-0.75-0.62
0.26-0.27-0.19-0.27-0.32-0.28-0.17-0.220.24-0.45-0.190.40.440.30.68-0.30.440.490.090.45-0.380.170.220.090.39-0.53-0.030.540.33-0.190.280.23-0.230.17-0.190.450.440.07-0.590.570.470.410.12-0.30.56-0.480.450.070.510.31-0.250.44-0.19-0.28-0.06-0.23-0.26-0.26-0.27-0.16
-0.120.980.990.990.390.03-0.410.99-0.830.29-0.62-0.16-0.77-0.46-0.480.25-0.77-0.670.7-0.610.950.08-0.810.7-0.270.28-0.28