Farmers Story

FMNB -  USA Stock  

USD 17.15  0.22  1.30%

The predictive indicators we use to evaluate Farmers help investors to analyze its daily demand and supply, volume, patterns, and price swings to determine the real value of Farmers National Banc. We apply different methods to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmers based on widely used predictive technical indicators. While some planning is required to successfully invest in stocks, sometimes taking bold action is just as important. Let's try to go over why this may be the case with Farmers National. We will analyze why it could be a much better year for Farmers National shareholders.
Published over six months ago
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Thinking to buy more of Farmers National (NASDAQ:FMNB)?
On a scale of 0 to 100, Farmers National holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3945, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Farmers's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Farmers National returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Farmers National will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Farmers National Banc historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing Farmers National Banc technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.26% will be sustainable into the future. Please utilizes Farmers National Banc expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution to make a quick decision on whether Farmers National price patterns will revert.
The successful prediction of Farmers Natl stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmers Natl Banc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmers Natl based on Farmers Natl hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmers Natl's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmers Natl's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Farmers expected Price

Farmers Natl technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Farmers Natl technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Farmers Natl trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Farmers utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Farmers Natl, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Farmers Natl is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Farmers Natl cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Farmers Natl Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 50.01 Million

Farmers Natl exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Farmers Natl insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Farmers insider trading alert for general transaction of farmers national banc corp. common stock by Edward Muransky, the corporate stakeholder, on 5th of May 2021. This event was filed by Farmers National Banc Cor with SEC on 2021-05-05. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Breaking it down a bit more

Farmers National Banc reported the previous year's revenue of 115.33 M. Net Income was 38.48 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 108.53 M.

Revenues Breakdown

Farmers National Revenues is increasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Revenues is expected to dwindle to about 95.4 M. Revenues usually refers to amount of Revenue recognized from goods sold; services rendered; insurance premiums; or other activities that constitute an earning process. Interest income for financial institutions is reported net of interest expense and provision for credit losses. Farmers National Revenues is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Revenues was at 108.53 Million
201348.52 Million
201449.76 Million
201564.53 Million
201687.49 Million
201794.35 Million
2018101 Million
2019108.53 Million
202095.41 Million

Will price continue to rise in November 2020?

Current treynor ratio is at 0.46. Farmers National Banc currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.14. However, we do advice investors to further question Farmers National Banc expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.

The Bottom Line

Whereas some other entities within the banks?regional industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Farmers National may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. To conclude, as of the 24th of October 2020, our latest 30 days 'Buy-vs-Sell' recommendation on the company is Strong Hold. We believe Farmers National is currently undervalued with above average odds of financial distress for the next two years.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Farmers Natl Banc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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